UConn vs Florida Prediction 12/9/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Florida (5-3) vs. UConn (8-1)
December 9, 2025 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: UConn -4.5; Over/Under: 146.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Florida Gators and UConn Huskies meet Tuesday in the college basketball action at Madison Square Garden. Here’s a UConn vs Florida Prediction. This article will include a UConn vs Florida Pick.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators lost to Duke, beat Providence, and they play George Washington next. Florida has lost 2 of its last 3 games.
The Florida Gators are averaging 83.5 points on 43.2 percent shooting and allowing 72 points on 38.8 percent shooting. Thomas Haugh is averaging 18.6 points and 7.6 rebounds, while Alex Condon is averaging 15.1 points and 9 rebounds. Boogie Fland is the third double-digit scorer and Rueben Chinyelu is grabbing 11.3 rebounds. The Florida Gators are shooting 27.4 percent from beyond the arc and 72.1 percent from the free throw line. The Florida Gators are allowing 26.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.
UConn Huskies Betting Preview
The UConn Huskies beat Kansas and East Texas A&M, and they play Texas next. UConn has won 14 of its last 17 games.
The UConn Huskies are averaging 80.1 points on 49.1 percent shooting and allowing 60.4 points on 37.4 percent shooting. Tarris Reed Jr. is averaging 15.5 points and 8.3 rebounds, while Solo Ball is averaging 14.6 points and 1.6 assists. Alex Karaban is the third double-digit scorer and Silas Demary Jr. is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The UConn Huskies are shooting 33.3 percent from beyond the arc and 71.2 percent from the free throw line. The UConn Huskies are allowing 26.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Connecticut Huskies will win
- Connecticut has won each of its last 14 night games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- Connecticut has won the first half in each of its last 14 night games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won each of its last 11 night games played at neutral venues.
- Connecticut has lost the first half in five of its last six night games against AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Fourteen of Florida’s last 15 games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 149+ points.
- Each of Connecticut’s last five games have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Connecticut ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (7.6).
- Connecticut ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.55).
- Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (47.6).
- Florida ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (58.9%).
UConn vs Florida Prediction
UConn is starting to find its footing, is defending at a fantastic level, and we know MSG is a home away from home for the Huskies. UCONN should be favored, especially with Florida underachieving up to this point. However, Florida is coming off its best game of the season where it probably should’ve beat Duke on the road. Florida is also 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU in its last 4 games as an underdog.
Florida hasn’t consistently played particularly well on either side of the ball yet this season, and it’s only a matter of time before things start to flip. We’re getting value with Florida and the points, as this is still one of the better teams in the country on paper. Take advantage while you still can. Give me the Gators and the points.
