College Basketball Picks

UConn vs San Diego State Pick – National Championship Predictions & Odds 4/3/23

San Diego State Aztecs (32-6) vs. Connecticut Huskies (30-8)
April 3, 2023 9:20 pm EDT
The Line: Connecticut Huskies -7.5 / San Diego State Aztecs +7.5; Over/Under: +131.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego State Aztecs and UConn Huskies meet Monday in the college basketball National Championship at NRG Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 72.9 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 64.4 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Matt Bradley is averaging 12.5 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Darrion Trammell is averaging 9.9 points and 2.4 rebounds. Lamont Butler is grabbing 2.7 rebounds and Jaedon LeDee is dishing 1 assist. The San Diego State Aztecs are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 73.1 percent from the free throw line. The San Diego State Aztecs are allowing 29.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.4 rebounds per game.

The UConn Huskies are averaging 79 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 64.8 points on 40.8 percent shooting. Adama Sanogo is averaging 17.1 points and 7.5 rebounds, while Jordan Hawkins is averaging 16.3 points and 1.3 assists. Tristen Newton is dishing 4.6 assists and Alex Karaban is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The UConn Huskies are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 75.8 percent from the free throw line. The UConn Huskies are allowing 29.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.1 rebounds per game.

The Aztecs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The under is 17-5 in Aztecs last 22 overall. The under is 7-2 in Huskies last 9 overall.

The San Diego State Aztecs have covered numbers all season and have the physical defense that allows them to make games ugly and hang around. I can understand wanting to take the points. However, UConn has been a buzz saw all tournament and easily the best team from the start, absolutely blitzing teams at both ends of the floor. Why anybody would be eager to step in front of UConn is beyond me. I’ll lay the chalk with UConn.

See you guys in a few months!

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Connecticut Huskies -7.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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