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UMass Lowell vs UMBC Prediction 2/20/25 College Basketball Picks Today

UMBC (12-15) vs. UMass Lowell (15-11)
February 20, 2025 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: UMass Lowell -7.5; Over/Under: 163.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a UMass Lowell vs UMBC Prediction for this college basketball game on Thursday,  February 20th, at the Hec Edmundson Pavillion. Let’s take a look at a UMass Lowell River Hawks vs UMBC Retrievers. 

UMBC Fell Just Short

UMBC has been inconsistent and they fell just short in the last game against Bryant. UMBC scored 79 points, but the defense gave up 81 points and that led to the two-point defeat. Marlon Short had a strong game putting up 23 points, four rebounds, and two assists. There were five different players that put up at least 10 points. In this game, it’s going to need to be a balanced attack, but the defense is going to need to be a whole lot better. Two games ago against Binghamton, UMBC scored 81 points and they won by four points. 


UMBC sits with a 12-15 record overall and they have gone 11-13 against the spread. The over has hit in 16 of the games. UMBC is averaging 80.3 points while their defense is giving up 77.4 points per game. The offense is ranked 44th in the league while the defense is ranked 320th in the league. They are shooting 48.8 percent from the field. Guard Bryce Johnson is averaging 16.7 points while shooting 51.2 percent from the field. 

Why UMBC WIll Beat UMass Lowell

  • UMass Lowell has lost each of its last five night games against the America East Conference.
  • UMBC has won nine of its last 11 games following a road loss.

UMass Lowell defense Has Issues

The UMass Lowell defense has some major issues, and they have lost three games in a row. Two games ago against Albany, they were defeated 90-88 and in the last game against New Hampshire, they were defeated 80-79. At halftime against the Wildcats, they were up 10 points, but in the second half, they blew the game late. Quinton Mincey had a strong game putting up 23 points, four rebounds, and three assists. There were four different players that ended up putting up at least 12 points. 

UMass Lowell sits with a 15-11 record overall and they have gone 8-15 against the spread UMass Lowell is averaging 80.5 points while their defense is giving up 74.3 points per game. The offense is ranked 40th in the league while the defense is ranked 257th. Quinton Mincey has been the top player putting up 16 points per game while shooting 46.9 percent from the field and 36.4 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why UMass Lowell Will beat UMBC

  • UMass Lowell has won 41 of its last 45 games at Costello Athletic Center.
  • UMBC has lost five of its last six games against the America East Conference.
  • UMBC has lost the first half in 10 of its last 13 games against Conference opponents.

UMass Lowell vs UMBC Prediction

UMass Lowell and UMBC have both played to the overs so far this season, and that is going to continue to be the case again here. UMBC is averaging 80.3 points while UMass Lowell is averaging 80.5 points per game. Neither team is going to play any sort of defense here, and that will end up being the difference here. Both teams are going to go well over 80 points, and the over is going to cash. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Over

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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