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UMass vs Miami (OH) Prediction 3/12/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Massachusetts (16-15) vs. Miami (OH) (31-0)
March 12, 2026 11:00 am EDT
The Line: Miami (OH) +0.0001; Over/Under: 0.0001
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a UMass vs Miami (OH) Prediction for this MEAC Tournament matchup on Thursday, March 12th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Preview

The Miami (OH) RedHawks have a 31-0 overall record and an 18-0 record in the MAC conference. They are coming off a 110-108 road win against Ohio and their previous three games were a 74-72 home win against Toledo, a 69-67 road win against Western Michigan and a 74-64 road win against Eastern Michigan.

Offensively, Miami (OH) averages 90.9 points per game, while allowing 74.9 points per game defensively. The RedHawks shoot with 53% from the field and grab 35.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 7.5 steals per game defensively.

Peter Suder leads Miami (OH) in scoring, with an average of 14.8 points per game, while shooting with 55.6% from the field and 72.5% from the free throw line. Eian Elmer is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.1 per game. Luke Skaljac leads the team in assists with 4.7 per game.

UMass Minutemen Preview

The UMass Minutemen have a 16-15 overall record and a 7-11 record in the MAC conference. They are coming off a 94-82 home win against Ohio and their previous three games were an 81-62 road loss against Bowling Green, a 74-73 road win against Ball State and an 86-82 home win against Buffalo.

Offensively, Massachusetts averages 80.5 points per game, while allowing 77.5 points per game defensively. The Minutemen shoot with 47% from the field and grab 37.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.4 assists per game. They average 2.2 blocks per game and 6.6 steals per game defensively.

Leonardo Bettiol leads Massachusetts in scoring, with an average of 17.8 points per game, while shooting with 60.6% from the field and 71.2% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 7.9 rebounds. Danny Carbuccia leads the team in assists with 6.3 per game.

Massachusetts Minutemen @ Miami RedHawks Betting Trends: March 12, 2026

 

Why the Miami RedHawks will win

  • Miami (OH) has won each of its last 31 games.
  • Massachusetts has lost each of its last 12 games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Massachusetts has lost the first half in 10 of its last 11 games against AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Massachusetts Minutemen will win

  • Massachusetts has won each of its last three games played at neutral venues.
  • Miami (OH) has lost three of its last four day games following an overtime win.
  • Massachusetts has won the first half in three of its last four games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Miami (OH) ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (52.6%).
  • Miami (OH) ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (64.8%).
  • Massachusetts ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (18.6).
  • Massachusetts ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (25.5).

UMass vs Miami (OH) Prediction

In this UMass vs Miami (OH) Prediction, Miami is coming as -8 favorites. Miami has been the only undefeated squad in the country so far and has also excellent against the spread, with a 19-9 ATS record, as opposed to UMass’ 12-18. UMass has been struggling lately, with a 1-6 record in its last 7 games and has lost both regular season meetings against Miami by 9 and two points. UMass is also 2-8 away from home this season so I expect Miami to dominate this game and cover the spread easily.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Miami (OH) -8

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