College Basketball Picks

UMBC vs Albany 1/5/23 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

Albany Great Danes (5-11) vs. UMBC Retrievers (9-6)
January 5, 2023 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: UMBC Retrievers -9 / Albany Great Danes +9; Over/Under: +147
(Get latest betting odds)

The Albany Great Danes and UMBC Retrievers meet Thursday in college basketball action at the Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena. The Albany Great Danes look for their sixth win. The UMBC Retrievers look for their 10th win.

The Albany Great Danes are averaging 68 points on 41.2 percent shooting and allowing 74.9 points on 49.6 percent shooting. Gerald Drumgoole Jr. is averaging 14.3 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Jonathan Beagle is averaging 11.4 points and 1.4 assists. Justin Neely is dishing 0.5 assists and Aaron Reddish is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Albany Great Danes are shooting 33.3 percent from beyond the arc and 68.3 percent from the free throw line. The Albany Great Danes are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.7 rebounds per game.

The UMBC Retrievers are averaging 77.6 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 72.8 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Colton Lawrence is averaging 14.5 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Jacob Boonyasith is averaging 12.3 points and 3.5 rebounds. Matteo Picarelli is the third double-digit scorer and Dion Brown is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The UMBC Retrievers are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 76.7 percent from the free throw line. The UMBC Retrievers are allowing 40.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.9 rebounds per game.

The Great Danes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games and 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Retrievers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The over is 7-2 in Great Danes last 9 road games. The under is 6-1 in Retrievers last 7 overall. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

The Albany Great Danes aren’t playing great ball entering this game, as they’re shooting 39.4 percent from the field in their last 5 games. The UMBC Retrievers aren’t perfect, but they win the games they’re supposed to win, especially when you factor they win by an average of 10.7 points in the favorite role. I’ll lay the points with UMBC.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: UMBC Retrievers -9

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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