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UNLV vs Fresno State Prediction 12-28-24 College Basketball Picks

Fresno State (4-8) vs. UNLV (6-5)
December 28, 2024 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: UNLV -16.5; Over/Under: +145.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a UNLV vs Fresno State prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, December 28th at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

UNLV Rebels Betting Preview

The UNLV Rebels are 6-5 (0-0) this year after they defeated UC Riverside by a score of 66-53 in their last game. UNLV led 31-29 at halftime and held Riverside to just 24 points in the second half in the win. The Rebels shot 44.3% from the field, 15.8% on three pointers, and 69.2% on free throws in the game. Dedan Thomas Jr. led UNLV with 15 points and five assists in the game. 


Prior to that win, the Rebels lost to Dayton by a score of 66-65, but did beat Pacific by a score of 72-65 before that. UNLV has scored 71.5 points per game and they have allowed 69.5 points against per game, while also averaging 32.8 rebounds and 12.7 assists per game this season. Dedan Thomas Jr. Is averaging 16.5 points, 2.3 rebounds, and 4.1 assists per game, while UNLV is shooting 44.2% from the field, 73.7% on free throws, and 36.4% on three pointers this year. 

Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs are 4-8 (0-1) this season after they lost to Cal Baptist by a score of 86-69 in their last game. Fresno State trailed 36-35 at halftime and allowed 50 points in the second half in the loss. The Bulldogs shot 46.6% from the field, 55.6% on three pointers, and 41.7% on free throws in the game. Zaon Collins led Fresno State with 14 points and six assists in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Bulldogs defeated San Diego by a score of 73-65, but did lose the previous five games. Fresno State has scored 71.9 points per game and they have allowed 79.6 points against per game, while also averaging 37.1 rebounds and 10.3 assists per game this season. Zaon Collins is averaging 13.4 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 3.9 assists per game, while Fresno State is shooting 39.4% from the field, 66.7% on free throws, and 28.2% on three pointers this year. 

Why UNLV will beat Fresno State

  • Fresno State has lost each of its last seven night games against the Mountain West Conference.
  • UNLV has won each of its last six night games at Thomas & Mack Center.
  • Fresno State has lost the first half in each of its last eight games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of UNLV’s last nine games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
  • Each of Fresno State’s last five night games have produced a total of 146+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • UNLV ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.1).
  • UNLV ranks T49th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.5).
  • Fresno State ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (43.9).
  • Fresno State ranks T358th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (30.3).

UNLV vs Fresno State Prediction 

Fresno State comes into this matchup after losing six of their last seven games and they allowed at least 81 points in all six of those losses. The Bulldogs are shooting just 39.4% from the field and they are allowing nearly 80 points against per game on defense this year. UNLV is just 6-5 on the season, but they have played a very difficult schedule and nearly beat Dayton on the road two games ago. The Rebels are the better team on both sides of the court and I have to fade the Fresno State defense here. Take UNLV to win big at home. 

David Racey's Free Pick: UNLV -16.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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