College Basketball Picks

UNLV vs New Mexico 1/11/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

New Mexico Lobos (7-8) vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels (8-6)
January 11, 2022 11:00 pm EDT
The Line: UNLV Runnin' Rebels -6 / New Mexico Lobos +6; Over/Under: -151.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New Mexico Lobos and the UNLV Rebels meet in college basketball action from he Thomas & Mack Center on Tuesday night.

The New Mexico Lobos will look to rebound from a 90-87 OT loss at the hands of the Utah State Aggies in their last matchup. Jamal Mashburn Jr. leads the Lobos in scoring with 19 PPG while Jaelen House has 16.1 PPG with a team-high 4.6 APG as the only other double-digit scorer for New Mexico up to this point in the season while also leading the Lobos in the assist department. Javonte Johnson has 9.1 PPG with a team-high 5.5 RPG and Gethro Muscadin has 9.3 PPG and 5.3 RPG as well while KJ Jenkins is chipping in 9 PPG also this season. As a team, New Mexico is averaging 79.4 PPG on 43.1% shooting from the field, 34.6% from three and 74.8% from the foul line while allowing 77.9 PPG on 44.9% shooting from the field and 32.3% from three this season.

The UNLV Rebels will try to bounce back from a 62-55 loss to San Diego State last time out. Bryce Hamilton leads the Rebels in scoring with 18.4 PPG while Donovan Williams has 12.8 PPG as the only other double-digit scorer for UNLV so far this season. Royce Hamm Jr. has 8.9 PPG with a team-high 10.2 RPG to lead the Rebels on the glass and Jordan McCabe is dishing out a team-high 5 APG as well this season. As a team, UNLV is averaging 70.4 PPG on 41.6% shooting from the field, 31.5% from downtown and 72.8% from the foul line while allowing 66.3 PPG on 40.5% shooting from the field and 32.4% from three this season.

New Mexico is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog while the over is 8-1 in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record. UNLV is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall and 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite while the over is 12-2 in their last 14 games as an underdog. 

I get the case that could be made both ways here, but this just has the makings of an over game to me. New Mexico is more than capable of scoring into the 70s or 80s as we have seen a lot of times this season while they’re also capable of giving that up and UNLV is more than talented enough to get theirs. I think this is an 84-79 type of game, so give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 151.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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