UNLV vs San Diego State Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks Today

The UNLV Rebels and San Diego State Aztecs meet on Tuesday in college basketball action at Thomas & Mack Center. Here’s a UNLV vs San Diego State Prediction. This article will include a UNLV vs San Diego State Pick.

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs (20-7, 11-15 ATS) have been playing some excellent basketball recently. The Aztecs won nine of the previous 11 games, including the last two over New Mexico and Wyoming. San Diego State won five of the past six, with the lone loss coming to Utah State on the road. SDSU is 4th in the Mountain West Standings with the same record as Boise State and two games behind the leaders New Mexico. It’s a wide-open situation at the top of the conference prior to the championship.

San Diego State averages 71.4 PPG (269th) and allows 63.4 PPG (13rd). The Aztecs are 171st in rebounds (36.0) and 278th in assists (12.9). Miles Byrd leads the team with 12.9 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 2.6 APG, and a team-high 2.0 SPG. Nick Boyd follows him with 12.8 PPG, 4.0 RPG, a team-high 4.0 APG, and 1.1 SPG, while BJ Davis contributes 9.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, and 1.6 SPG.

UNLV Rebels Betting Preview

The UNLV Rebels (16-13, 12-16-1 ATS) successfully put the worst period of the season behind them and now are playing very well. Namely, UNLV went through a five-game losing skid but won five of the next six games, defeating Wyoming, Air Force, Fresno State, San Jose State, and Nevada, while losing to Colorado State. UNLV is 6th in the Mountain West Standings and will stay there for the conference tourney because the Rebels cannot move up or down.

UNLV is averaging 69.6 PPG (313th) and is allowing 68.0 PPG (68th). The Rebels are getting 33.7 RPG (318th) and dish out 12.0 APG (339th). Dedan Thomas Jr. is the team’s top scorer with 15.6 PPG, 2.0 RPG, and a team-high 4.7 APG. Jaden Henley adds 12.0 PPG, 4.2 RPG, and a team-high 1.5 SPG, while Jailen Bedford contributes 10.1 PPG and 3.9 RPG.

Why San Diego State will beat UNLV

• San Diego State has won 10 of its last 11 night games at Thomas & Mack Center.
• San Diego State has won the first half in three of its last four night games against UNLV.

Total Points Facts

• Each of San Diego State’s last four night games against the Mountain West Conference has produced a total of 138+ points.
• Six of the last seven games between San Diego State and UNLV have produced a total of 133+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• UNLV ranks T23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.3).
• San Diego State ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (37.4%).
• San Diego State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (20.8).

UNLV vs San Diego State Prediction

San Diego State won seven of the last ten H2H encounters, but the Aztecs owe the Rebels one for the loss earlier this season when UNLV was better at SDSU. Although improved lately and playing well, UNLV already secured the No. 6 seed in the conference and cannot move up or down, while San Diego State is motivated to get a W and stay in contention for the top. SDSU has a top 15 defense in the country and I am sure that D will play a crucial role against the team that averages below 70 points per game. Back the Aztecs to cover.