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USF vs East Carolina Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 3/9/23

East Carolina Pirates (15-16) vs. South Florida Bulls (14-17)
March 9, 2023 12:30 pm EDT
The Line: South Florida Bulls -3.5 / East Carolina Pirates +3.5; Over/Under: +143.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The East Carolina Pirates and South Florida Bulls meet Thursday in the college basketball AAC Tournament First Round at the Dickies Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The East Carolina Pirates are averaging 69.4 points on 40.7 percent shooting and allowing 71.3 points on 44.3 percent shooting. Javon Small is averaging 15.8 points and 4.8 rebounds, while RJ Felton is averaging 13.8 points and 1.6 assists. Brandon Johnson is the third double-digit scorer and Ezra Ausar is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The East Carolina Pirates are shooting 31.8 percent from beyond the arc and 69 percent from the free throw line. The East Carolina Pirates are allowing 33 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.4 rebounds per game.

The South Florida Bulls are averaging 72.4 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 71.9 points on 43 percent shooting. Tyler Harris is averaging 16.6 points and 3.4 assists, while Russel Tchewa is averaging 11.3 points and 8.5 rebounds. Selton Miguel is the third double-digit scorer and Keyshawn Bryant is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The South Florida Bulls are shooting 33.7 percent from beyond the arc and 64.8 percent from the free throw line. The South Florida Bulls are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.5 rebounds per game.

The Pirates are 7-25 ATS in their last 32 Thursday games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. The over is 8-1 in Pirates last 9 neutral site games. The over is 20-7 in Bulls last 27 overall. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

USF won both meetings against East Carolina and was 11-2 ATS in non home games this season. The East Carolina Pirates were outscored on the year, they’re not playing well now, and they lose as underdogs by an average of 6.2 points. We’re not laying much. Give me USF and the small chalk.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: South Florida Bulls -3.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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