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USF vs Memphis Prediction 2/19/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Memphis (12-13) vs. South Florida (18-8)
February 19, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: South Florida -8.5; Over/Under: 159.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Memphis Tigers and USF Bulls meet Thursday in college basketball action at the Yuengling Center. Here’s a USF vs Memphis Prediction. This article will include a USF vs Memphis Pick.

Memphis Tigers Betting Preview

The Memphis Tigers lost to North Texas and Utah State, and they play UAB next. Memphis has split its last 12 games.


The Memphis Tigers are averaging 74.8 points on 43.5 percent shooting and allowing 73.8 points on 41.4 percent shooting. Dug McDaniel is averaging 12.8 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Sincere Parker is averaging 12 points and 3.4 rebounds. Curtis Givens III is dishing 2.2 assists and Aaron Bradshaw is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Memphis Tigers are shooting 31.9 percent from beyond the arc and 72.4 percent from the free throw line. The Memphis Tigers are allowing 29.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game.

USF Bulls Betting Preview

The USF Bulls beat FAU and Wichita State, and they play Rice next. USF has won 7 of its last 8 games.

The USF Bulls are averaging 88.8 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 78.5 points on 42.2 percent shooting. Izaiyah Nelson is averaging 16 points and 1 assist, while Wes Enis is averaging 15.9 points and 3.5 rebounds. Jospeh Pinion is the third double-digit scorer, and CJ Brown is dishing 5.1 assists. The USF Bulls are shooting 33.4 percent from beyond the arc and 73.2 percent from the free throw line. The USF Bulls are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.8 rebounds per game.

Why the South Florida Bulls will win

  • South Florida has won each of its last eight night games at Yuengling Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Memphis has lost five of its last six road games.
  • Memphis has lost the first half in eight of its last nine road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

  • Memphis has won eight of its last nine games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • South Florida has lost three of its last four games at Yuengling Center following an overtime win.
  • Memphis has won the first half in each of its last four road games against South Florida.

Total Points Facts

  • Eleven of Memphis’ last 12 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
  • Thirty-nine of South Florida’s last 43 home night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • South Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (28.1).
  • South Florida ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (4.9).
  • Memphis ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (29.7%).
  • Memphis ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.2).

USF vs Memphis Prediction

Memphis is a hard team to trust, especially on the road or in the underdog role. While there’s some talent on the roster, Memphis has had issues stepping up in competition. South Florida is looking more and more like a team that can come out of the AAC, and it’s at its best at home. USF has also covered 5 of its last 8 games. Thick number, but I’m just not a believer in this Memphis team. I have to lay the chalk with South Florida at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: South Florida -8.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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