UT Rio Grande Valley vs UT Arlington Prediction 12/11/25 College Basketball Picks Today
UT Arlington (6-3) vs. UT Rio Grande Valley (3-5)
December 11, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: UT Rio Grande Valley -2.5; Over/Under: 144.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The UT Arlington Mavericks and UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros meet Thursday in the college basketball action at the UTRGV Fieldhouse. Here’s a UT Rio Grande Valley vs UT Arlington Prediction. This article will include a UT Rio Grande Valley vs UT Arlington Pick.
UT Arlington Mavericks Betting Preview
The UT Arlington Mavericks lost to Arkansas State, beat Stephen F. Austin, and they play Stanford next. UT Arlington has won 5 of its last 7 games.
The UT Arlington Mavericks are averaging 85.6 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 73.5 points on 40 shooting. Raysean Seamster is averaging 16.3 points and 6.9 rebounds, while Marcell McCreary is averaging 12 points and 4.6 rebounds. Cash Chavis the third double-digit scorer and Tyran Mason is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The UT Arlington Mavericks are shooting 28.1 percent from beyond the arc and 68 percent from the free throw line. The UT Arlington Mavericks are allowing 24.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game.
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Betting Preview
The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros lost to Stephen F. Austin, beat Austin Peay, and they play Lamar next. UT Rio Grande Valley has lost 3 of its last 4 games.
The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros are averaging 76.8 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 73.8 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Koree Cotton is averaging 12.3 points and 5 rebounds, while Marvin McGhee III is averaging 11.3 points and 5.4 rebounds. Kye Dickson is dishing 0.3 assists and Filip Brankovic is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros are shooting 39.1 percent from beyond the arc and 70.7 percent from the free-throw line. The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros will win
- The home team has won each of Texas–Rio Grande Valley’s last six games.
- UT Arlington Mavericks has lost each of its last six Thursday games against non-Conference opponents.
- Texas–Rio Grande Valley has won the first half in each of its last eight home games.
Why the UT Arlington Mavericks will win
- Texas–Rio Grande Valley has lost 17 of its last 18 Thursday games against the Western Athletic Conference.
- UT Arlington Mavericks has won each of its last four games against Texas–Rio Grande Valley.
- UT Arlington Mavericks has won the first half in each of its last four games against Texas–Rio Grande Valley.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas–Rio Grande Valley’s last 14 night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 146+ points.
- Each of UT Arlington Mavericks’ last eight road night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 146+ points.
UT Rio Grande Valley vs UT Arlington Prediction
It feels like UT Rio Grande Valley is getting the benefit of the doubt because it’s at home, but I want the free bucket. UT Arlington has a couple of road wins already this season and has recent upsets over Weber State and Evansville. Arlington also has a nice toss-up win over Stephen F. Austin. The UT Arlington Mavericks have the offensive pop to give UTRGV fits, and they’ve covered 8 of their last 14 games as an underdog. I’ll grab the free bucket.