Utah State vs Nevada Prediction 2/21/26 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Utah State vs Nevada Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 21^st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Nevada Wolf Pack Preview

The Nevada Wolf Pack have a 17-9 overall record and a 9-6 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off an 87-71 road loss against San Jose State and their previous three games were a 71-57 road loss against San Diego State, a 69-59 home win against Fresno State and a 91-87 road loss against Boise State.

Offensively, Nevada averages 76 points per game, while allowing 71.8 points per game defensively. The Wolf Pack shoot with 43% from the field and grab 35.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.2 assists per game. They average 3.8 blocks per game and 6.7 steals per game defensively.

Corey Camper Jr. leads Nevada in scoring, with an average of 17.6 points per game, while shooting with 48.9% from the field and 77.8% from the free throw line. Elijah Price is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.8 per game. Tayshawn Comer leads the team in assists with 3.7 per game.

Utah State Aggies Preview

The Utah State Aggies have a 23-3 overall record and a 13-2 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off a 75-56 home win against Boise State and their previous three games were a 99-75 home win against Memphis, a 91-78 home win against Fresno State and an 85-83 road win against Wyoming.

Offensively, Utah State averages 84.3 points per game, while allowing 68.6 points per game defensively. The Aggies shoot with 51% from the field and grab 35.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 18 assists per game. They average 3.2 blocks per game and 8.9 steals per game defensively.

MJ Collins Jr. leads Utah State in scoring, with an average of 18.3 points per game, while shooting with 51.8% from the field and 80.5% from the free throw line. Mason Falslev is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.6 per game. Drake Allen leads the team in assists with 4.8 per game.

Utah State Aggies @ Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Trends: February 21, 2026

Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win

• The home team has won each of Nevada’s last eight games.
• The home team has won the first half in seven of Nevada’s last eight games.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

• Utah State has won each of its last eight games.
• Nevada has lost three of its last four games.
• Utah State has won the first half in each of its last six night games.

Total Points Facts

• Seventeen of Nevada’s last 20 games against Conference opponents at Lawlor Events Center have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
• Five of Utah State’s last six road games have produced a total of 152+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Nevada ranks T13th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (19.4).
• Nevada ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (25.6).
• Utah State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.74).
• Utah State ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (51.4%).

Utah State vs Nevada Prediction

In this Utah State vs Nevada Prediction, Utah State is coming as -5 road favorites. Utah State has been the better team this season and has been red-hot lately with eight consecutive wins. On the flip side, Nevada is 1-3 in its last 4 games and has failed to cover the spread in its last three and have been weaker than Utah State both on the offensive and the defensive end. Utah State ranks on the top-55 of the entire nation both offensively and defensively and has a +15.7 point differential this season and I expect them to get the job done on the road and cover the -5 spread.