Vanderbilt (23-7) vs. Tennessee (21-9)
March 7, 2026 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tennessee -5.5; Over/Under: 147.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Prediction for this college basketball matchup on Saturday, March 7th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Tennessee Volunteers Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers have a 21-9 overall record and an 11-6 record in the SEC conference. They are coming off a 78-59 road win against South Carolina and their previous three games were a 71-69 home loss against Alabama, a 73-69 road loss against Missouri and a 69-65 road win against Vanderbilt.
Offensively, Tennessee averages 80 points per game, while allowing 68.9 points per game defensively. The Volunteers shoot with 47% from the field and grab 42.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.2 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 7.6 steals per game defensively.
Ja’Kobi Gillespie leads Tennessee in scoring, with an average of 18 points per game, while shooting with 40.9% from the field and 81.6% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.6 assists. Nate Ament is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.4 per game.
Vanderbilt Commodores Preview
The Vanderbilt Commodores have a 23-7 overall record and a 10-7 record in the SEC conference. They are coming off an 89-86 road win against Ole Miss and their previous three games were a 91-77 road loss against Kentucky, an 88-80 home win against Georgia and a 69-65 home loss against Tennessee.
Offensively, Vanderbilt averages 87 points per game, while allowing 74.9 points per game defensively. The Commodores shoot with 48% from the field and grab 36 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.6 assists per game. They average 4.8 blocks per game and 8.3 steals per game defensively.
Tyler Tanner leads Vanderbilt in scoring, with an average of 19 points per game, while shooting with 48.8% from the field and 85% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.3 assists. Devin McGlockton is the team’s leading rebounder with 7 rebounds per game.
Vanderbilt Commodores @ Tennessee Volunteers Betting Trends: March 7, 2026
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won each of its last eight home games against Vanderbilt.
- Vanderbilt has lost five of its last six day games after coming off overtime.
- Tennessee has won the first half in 15 of its last 16 games at Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center.
Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win
- Tennessee has lost each of its last six Saturday games as an AP-ranked team.
- Vanderbilt has won 23 of its last 30 games.
- Tennessee has lost the first half in each of its last seven day games against AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Tennessee’s last nine home games against Vanderbilt have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
- Seven of Vanderbilt’s last eight games have produced a total of 151+ points.
Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Prediction
In this Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Prediction, Tennessee is coming as -5.5 home favorites. Both teams have been excellent this season and have almost identical overall records but Vanderbilt has been better against the spread but has lost three of its last five games. On the flip side, Tennessee is 7-3 in its last 10 games and has the 42nd-best defense in the entire nation. They have also been dominating Vanderbilt in their recent meetings with an 8-2 record in their last 10 head-to-head meetings, including a win earlier this season. Take Tennessee and lay the points in this one.
Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Tennessee -5.5
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