College Basketball Picks

Vanderbilt vs Texas Prediction 3/12/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Texas (17-14) vs. Vanderbilt (20-11)
March 12, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Vanderbilt -1.5; Over/Under: 148.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Longhorns and the Vanderbilt Commodores meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Bridgestone Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Vanderbilt vs Texas Prediction.

Matchup History

Vanderbilt won the lone regular season meeting between these two teams at home back on February 8th, 2025, by a final score of 86-78.


Texas Recap

The Texas Longhorns come into the conference tournament as the 13-seed, finishing the year with an overall record of 17-14 on the year and 6-12 in SEC conference play.

Longhorns Looking To Spring Some Upsets To Get Off Of Bubble

Tre Johnson leads the Longhorns in scoring with 20.2 PPG along with 3.2 RPG and 2.8 APG while Arthur Kaluma has 12.7 PPG with a team-high 7.8 RPG to lead the Longhorns in rebounding and Jordan Pope has 11 PPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Texas so far this season. Tramon Mark has 9.9 PPG with 3.8 RPG and Kadin Shedrick has 8.4 PPG with 6.2 RPG as well this year. Julian Larry is also contributing 5 PPG with a team-high 3.3 APG to lead the Longhorns in the assist department up to this point in the year. As a team, Texas is averaging 78.1 PPG on 46.3% shooting from the field, 36.3% from three and 74.6% from the foul line this season.

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

  • Texas has won 21 of its last 22 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Vanderbilt has lost each of its last five Conference Tournament day games.

Vanderbilt Recap

The Vanderbilt Commodores come into the conference tournament as the 12-seed, finishing the season with an overall record of 20-11 with an SEC conference mark of 8-10.

Commodores Looking To Strengthen NCAA Tournament Resume

Jason Edwards leads the Commodores in scoring with 17.2 PPG while Devin McGlockton has 10.5 PPG with a team-high 8 RPG to lead the Commodores on the glass. AJ Hoggard has 10 PPG with 2.6 RPG and a team-high 4.6 APG to lead the Commodores in assists, while Tyler Nickel also has 10.3 PPG as well on the year rounding out the group of double-digit scorers for Vanderbilt so far this season. MJ Collins Jr. has chipped in 7.9 PPG and Jaylen Carey has 8.4 PPG with 5.9 RPG as well this season. As a team, Vanderbilt is averaging 80.4 PPG on 45.7% shooting from the field, 32.8% from three and 74.8% from the foul line this season.

Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win

  • Texas has lost each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Vanderbilt has won 14 of its last 18 day games.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Texas’ last eight games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 150+ points.
  • Eleven of Vanderbilt’s last 13 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Vanderbilt vs Texas Prediction

I’m on the Commodores here. I didn’t love how Texas closed out the regular season as Tre Johnson just flat out didn’t show up and that was almost a win and you’re in game against Oklahoma depending on how the tournament shakes out. Texas just isn’t a good basketball team as far as I’m concerned, and not only do I feel that Vanderbilt is the better team here. I think that the Commodores have the edge with the SEC tournament being in Nashville at Bridgestone Arena. This makes this a defacto home game for the Commodores. I just like what coach Byington has done with Vandy and I think the Commodores get the win and cover at home here. Give me Vanderbilt.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Vanderbilt -1.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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