College Basketball Picks

Virginia vs Duke Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 2/11/23

Duke Blue Devils (17-7) vs. Virginia Cavaliers (18-4)
February 11, 2023 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Virginia Cavaliers -6.5 / Duke Blue Devils +6.5; Over/Under: +126.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Duke Blue Devils and the Virginia Cavaliers meet in college basketball action from the John Paul Jones Arena on Saturday afternoon. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.


Virginia is listed as a 6.5-point home favorite with a ML price of -275. The total for this game is 126.5 points.


For Duke, Dariq Whitehead is questionable for this game with a leg injury while Virginia comes into this game with a clean injury report.

Matchup History

Duke’s 65-61 win back on February 23rd, 2022, made it five straight meetings between these two teams without back-to-back winners.


Duke is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a home winning percentage above .600 while the under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games overall. Virginia is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.


I’m sticking with Virginia here. I get why Duke is a tempting underdog as you don’t come across that all that often, but the thing here is Virginia’s still rock solid defensively and Duke has had their fair share of struggles on the road this season. I think Duke will want to get the bad taste out of their mouths after the loss to Miami, but against Virginia and that defense, I don’t see it happening. Give me the Cavaliers laying the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Virginia -6.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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