College Basketball Picks

Virginia vs Duke Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 3/11/23

Duke Blue Devils (25-8) vs. Virginia Cavaliers (25-6)
March 11, 2023 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Virginia Cavaliers +1 / Duke Blue Devils -1; Over/Under: +123.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Duke Blue Devils and the Virginia Cavaliers meet in college basketball action from the Greensboro Coliseum as part of the ACC conference tournament on Saturday night. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.


Duke is listed as a 1-point favorite with the total for this game set at 123.5 points.


Duke comes into this matchup with a clean injury report while Virginia has lost Ben Vander Plas for the season with a hand injury.

Matchup History

Virginia’s 69-62 OT win back on February 11th, 2023, made it six straight head-to-head meetings without back-to-back winners.


Duke is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 neutral site games. Virginia is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record.  


I’m backing Duke here. I’m not rushing to bet this thing, but as critical as I’ve been about Duke this season and their inexperience, they’ve really stepped it up in this conference tournament and I just don’t know if Virginia’s going to be able to slow down Duke. The Blue Devils were in it against Virginia in the lone meeting this season before falling in OT, but I don’t think that Virginia can stifle this Duke team right now. I just think Duke’s firing on all cylinders and they get it done to win the ACC tournament. Give me Duke.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Duke -1

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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