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Virginia vs Maryland Prediction 12/20/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Maryland (6-5) vs. Virginia (9-1)
December 20, 2025 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Virginia -16.5; Over/Under: 154.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Maryland Terrapins and Virginia Cavaliers meet Saturday in the college basketball action at the John Paul Jones Arena. Here’s a Virginia vs Maryland Prediction. This article will include a Virginia vs Maryland Pick.

Maryland Terrapins Betting Preview

The Maryland Terrapins lost to Iowa and Michigan, and they play Old Dominion next. Maryland has lost 4 of its last 5 games.

The Maryland Terrapins are averaging 77.7 points on 41.4 percent shooting and allowing 80.6 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Pharrel Payne is averaging 17.5 points and 7.2 rebounds, while David Coit is averaging 14.8 points and 3 rebounds. Darius Adams is the third double-digit scorer and Andre Mills is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Maryland Terrapins are shooting 33.2 percent from beyond the arc and 75.2 percent from the free throw line. The Maryland Terrapins are allowing 38.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33 rebounds per game.

Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers beat Dayton and Maryland Eastern Shore, and they play American next. Virginia has won 9 of its last 10 games.

The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 87.1 points on 48.8 percent shooting and allowing 67.5 points on 39.8 percent shooting. Thijs De Ridder is averaging 16.1 points and 6 rebounds, while Malik Thomas is averaging 11.8 points and 1.8 assists. Chance Mallory is the third double-digit scorer and Jacari White is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Virginia Cavaliers are shooting 40 percent from beyond the arc and 69.2 percent from the free throw line. The Virginia Cavaliers are allowing 30.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38 rebounds per game.

Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win

  • Virginia has won each of its last 11 December games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
  • Maryland has lost eight of its last nine road night games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.
  • Virginia has won the first half in each of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents at John Paul Jones Arena.

Why the Maryland Terrapins will win

  • Maryland has won 12 of its last 13 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • Virginia has lost three of its last four night games against the Big Ten Conference.
  • The road team has won the first half in each of the last seven games between Maryland and Virginia.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Virginia’s last 114 night games at John Paul Jones Arena have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
  • Fourteen of Maryland’s last 15 night games against the Atlantic Coast Conference have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.

Virginia vs Maryland Prediction

Maryland clearly isn’t the same team from last season and is 4-7 ATS on the year. Virginia is capable of blowing the doors off what looks to be an offensively challenged Maryland side. Still, this feels like a lot of points. Virginia hasn’t played in 10 days, so who knows about potential rust. Virginia can also be awful from the free throw line. I’m also not ready to say Maryland is this bad. It’s been ugly, but this bad? I expect some sort of fight from the Terps. There’s still some talent on the roster. Give me the points with Maryland.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Maryland +16.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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