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Virginia vs Notre Dame Prediction 1/27/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Virginia (16-3) vs. Notre Dame (11-9)
January 27, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Notre Dame +10; Over/Under: 140.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Virginia vs Notre Dame Prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, January 27th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Preview

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have an 11-9 overall record this season and a 2-5 record in the ACC. They are coming off a 68-64 home win against Boston College and their previous three games were a 91-69 away loss against North Carolina, an 89-76 away loss against Virginia Tech and an 81-69 home loss against Miami.

Offensively, Notre Dame averages 72.9 points per game, while allowing 70.1 points per game defensively. The Fighting Irish shoot with 45% from the field and grab 37.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.9 assists per game. They average 2.1 blocks per game and 4.4 steals per game defensively.

Jalen Haralson leads Notre Dame in scoring, with an average of 14.7 points per game, while shooting with 48.8% from the field and 60.7% from the free throw line, while adding a team-high 2.3 assists per game. Carson Towt is the team’s leading rebounder with 9.9 per game.

Virginia Cavaliers Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers have a 16-3 overall record this season and a 5-2 record in the ACC. They are coming off an 85-80 away loss against North Carolina and their previous three games were a 72-68 away win against SMU, a 79-70 away win against Louisville and a 70-55 home win against Stanford.

Offensively, Virginia averages 83.8 points per game, while allowing 68 points per game defensively. The Cavaliers shoot with 47% from the field and grab 42.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.3 assists per game. They average 6.2 blocks per game and 6.4 steals per game defensively.

Thijs De Ridder leads Virginia in scoring, with an average of 16.3 points per game, while shooting with 53.8% from the field and 66.3% from the free throw line. Johann Grunloh is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.7 per game, while Dallin Hall leads the team in assists with 4.4 per game.

Virginia Cavaliers @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Trends: January 27, 2026

 

Why the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will win

  • Notre Dame has won seven of its last eight night games at Purcell Pavilion at the Joyce Center following a home win.
  • Virginia has lost each of its last three games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
  • The home team has won the first half in five of the last six games between Virginia and Notre Dame.

Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win

  • Notre Dame has lost each of its last 11 games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Virginia has won each of its last 11 January games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
  • Virginia has won the first half in each of its last 13 games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Virginia’s last eight night games have produced a total of 143+ points.
  • Twelve of the last 13 games between Virginia and Notre Dame have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.

Virginia vs Notre Dame Prediction

In this Virginia vs Notre Dame Prediction, Virginia is coming as -10 road favorites. Virginia has been the far better team this season and have been red-hot lately, with an 8-2 record in their last 10 games and 5-1 against the spread in their last 6. They have also been almost perfect on the road, while on the other hand, Notre Dame has been struggling lately, with a 1-5 record in its last 6 games, while having failed to cover the spread in its last five. Virginia has been better both on the offensive and the defensive end this season, with a +15.8 point differential, so I expect them to get the job done on the road today. Take Virginia and lay the points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Virginia -10

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