Virginia vs Wright State Prediction 3/20/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Wright State (23-11) vs. Virginia (29-5)
March 20, 2026 1:50 pm EDT
The Line: Virginia -18.5; Over/Under: 145.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Wright State Raiders and the Virginia Cavaliers meet Friday in college basketball action from XFinity Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers prediction.
Wright State Raiders Recap
The Wright State Raiders come into this game repping the Horizon League after going 23-11 in the regular season and winning the conference tournament.
Raiders Making First Tourney Appearance Since 2022
Michael Cooper leads the Raiders in scoring with 15 PPG with 3.2 RPG and 2.4 APG while Michael Imariagbe has 12.1 PPG with a team-high 5.9 RPG to lead the Raiders in rebounding up to this point in the year. TJ Burch has 10.9 PPG with 2.2 RPG and 3.4 APG and 2.9 SPG to lead the Raiders in assists and steals and Solomon Callaghan has 10.1 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Wright State so far this season. Dominic Pangonis has 9.2 PPG with 2.9 RPG and Kellen Pickett has 6.9 PPG with 4.9 RPG as well this season. As a team, Wright State is averaging 80.6 PPG on 49.4% shooting from the field, 36.3% from three and 73% from the foul line this season.
Why the Wright State Raiders will win
- Wright State has won seven of its last eight games.
- Virginia has lost each of its last three NCAA Tournament games.
Virginia Cavaliers Recap
The Virginia Cavaliers come into the NCAA tournament as the 3-seed, finishing the year at 29-5 overall out of the ACC, losing in the conference tournament semis to Duke to end the regular season.
Cavaliers Return Back To Big Dance In Year One Under Odom
Thijs De Ridder leads the Cavaliers in scoring with 15.8 PPG along with 6.2 RPG while Malik Thomas has 12.3 PPG with 4 RPG. Sam Lewis has 10.6 PPG with 3.6 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Virginia so far this season while Chance Mallory has 9.6 PPG with 3.8 RPG and 3.5 APG. Jacari White has 8.9 PPG with 2.3 RPG while Johann Grunloh has 7.3 PPG with 5.3 RPG and Dallin Hall is Virginia’s top assist man with 4.4 APG so far this season. As a team, Virginia is averaging 81 PPG on 46.3% shooting from the field, 36% from three and 72.3% from the foul line this season.
Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win
- Virginia has won each of its last 17 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Wright State has lost six of its last seven day games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Wright State’s last eight day games have produced a total of 146+ points.
- Each of Virginia’s last five day games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 153+ points.
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers Prediction
I’m on Virginia here. I just think this game is a bad matchup for Wright State with the physicality of Virginia and how the Cavaliers do a good job of taking away the 2-point shot inside the perimeter, which is where Wright State tries to score exclusively. I think this is a game where Virginia pulls away in the second half and gets a comfortable win and cover.
