West Virginia vs UCF Prediction 3/6/26 College Basketball Picks Today
UCF (20-9) vs. West Virginia (17-13)
March 6, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: West Virginia -3.5; Over/Under: 141.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a West Virginia vs UCF prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, March 6th at the WVU Coliseum in Morgantown, West Virginia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Preview
The West Virginia Mountaineers are 17-13 (8-9) this season after they lost to Kansas State by a score of 65-63 in their last game. West Virginia led 26-23 at halftime, but they allowed 42 points in the second half for the bad loss. The Mountaineers shot 39% from the field, 26% on three pointers, and 56% on free throws in the game. Chance Moore led WVU with 18 points and six rebounds, while Brenen Lorient added 14 points and three rebounds in the loss.
Prior to that game, West Virginia defeated BYU by a score of 79-71, but lost to Oklahoma State by a score of 91-84 before that. The Mountaineers have scored 69.6 points per game with 34.8 rebounds and 13.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 64.7 points against per game this season. Honor Huff is averaging 15.5 points and 2.3 rebounds per game, while Brenen Lorient is averaging 11.6 points and 5.0 rebounds per game for the Mountaineers. WVU is shooting 44.2% from the field, 67.2% on free throws, and 33.1% on three pointers this season.
UCF Knights Betting Preview
The UCF Knights are 20-9 (9-8) this year after they lost to Oklahoma State in overtime by a score of 111-104 in their last game. UCF trailed 45-40 at halftime, but they scored 54 points in the second half, before losing in OT. The Knights shot 46% from the field, 32% on three pointers, and 73% on free throws in the game. Themus Fulks led UCF with 22 points and six assists, while Riley Kugel added 18 points and three assists in the loss.
Prior to that game, UCF lost to Baylor by a score of 87-86, but did beat BYU by a score of 97-84 before that. The Knights have scored 82.9 points per game with 36.7 rebounds and 16.4 assists per game, while they have allowed 78.9 points against per game this season. Riley Kugel is averaging 14.6 points and 3.2 rebounds per game, while Themus Fulks is averaging 14.4 points and 6.9 assists per game for the Knights. UCF is shooting 47.8% from the field, 75.3% on free throws, and 38.2% on three pointers this year.
Why the West Virginia Mountaineers will win
- West Virginia has won 13 of its last 14 night games at Hope Coliseum.
- West Virginia has won the first half in 14 of its last 15 night games at Hope Coliseum.
Why the UCF Knights will win
- West Virginia has lost each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- The road team has won each of UCF’s last four games.
- The road team has won the first half in each of UCF’s last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Thirty-one of UCF’s last 32 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 143+ points.
- Sixteen of West Virginia’s last 17 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Hope Coliseum have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- West Virginia ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for pace this season (63.3).
- West Virginia ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (64.7).
- UCF ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (29.9).
- UCF ranks 26th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (62.7).
West Virginia vs UCF Prediction
West Virginia comes into this matchup after losing four of their last five games and they have scored 63 points or fewer in three of their last five. The Mountaineers are shooting 44% from the field, but they are a decent defensive team. UCF has dropped two in a row, but they are 2-0 in their last two road games. The Knights are shooting 48% from the field and they have allowed 82+ points in four of their last five. These teams play at different paces, but with UCF’s lack of defense, I am taking the over here.