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Wisconsin vs Illinois Prediction 3/13/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Wisconsin (23-9) vs. Illinois (24-7)
March 13, 2026 2:30 pm EDT
The Line: Illinois -8; Over/Under: 156.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Wisconsin vs Illinois Prediction for this Big Ten Quarterfinal on Friday, March 13th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Illinois Fighting Illini Preview

The Illinois Fighting Illini have a 24-7 overall record and a 15-5 record in the Big Ten conference. They are coming off a 78-72 road win against Maryland and their previous three games were an 80-54 win against Oregon, an 84-70 loss against Michigan and a 95-94 loss against UCLA.

Offensively, Illinois averages 84.3 points per game, while allowing 69.1 points per game defensively. The Fighting Illini shoot with 46% from the field and grab 40.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.6 assists per game. They average 4.7 blocks per game and 3.8 steals per game defensively.

Keaton Wagler leads Illinois in scoring, with an average of 17.9 points per game, while shooting with 44.7% from the field and 80.7% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4.3 assists. David Mirkovic is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.8 per game.

Wisconsin Badgers Preview

The Wisconsin Badgers have a 23-9 overall record and a 14-6 record in the Big Ten conference. They are coming off an 85-82 win against Washington and their previous three games were a 97-93 road win against Purdue, a 78-45 win against Maryland and a 90-73 road win against Washington.

Offensively, Wisconsin averages 83.3 points per game, while allowing 75.8 points per game defensively. The Badgers shoot with 45% from the field and grab 35.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16 assists per game. They average 3.1 blocks per game and 5.6 steals per game defensively.

Nick Boyd leads Wisconsin in scoring, with an average of 20.1 points per game, while shooting with 48% from the field and 81.5% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4 assists. Nolan Winter is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.6 per game.

Wisconsin Badgers @ Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Trends: March 13, 2026

 

Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win

  • Illinois has won each of its last six day games against Wisconsin.
  • Wisconsin has lost 12 of its last 14 day games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
  • Illinois has won the first half in each of its last six day games against Wisconsin.

Why the Wisconsin Badgers will win

  • Wisconsin has won each of its last seven Friday games against Conference opponents.
  • Illinois has lost five of its last six games at United Center.
  • Wisconsin has won the first half in each of its last eight March day games as an AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

  • Thirteen of Wisconsin’s last 14 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
  • Each of the last five games between Wisconsin and Illinois have produced a total of 166+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Illinois ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (3.8).
  • Illinois ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (7.8).
  • Wisconsin ranks T2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (4.7).
  • Wisconsin ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.6).

Wisconsin vs Illinois Prediction

In this Wisconsin vs Illinois Prediction, Illinois is coming as -8 favorites. Illinois has only one win more than Wisconsin and both teams have similar ATS records. Illinois is just 4-4 in its last 8 games, while Wisconsin is 7-2 in its last 9 and 7-3 against the spread, while having won their regular season meeting against Illinois and are now being +8 point underdogs. This is insane value as Wisconsin can win this game outright, so get the +8 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Wisconsin +8

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