Xavier vs Missouri State Prediction 12/12/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Missouri State (4-4) vs. Xavier (7-3)
December 12, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Xavier -18.5; Over/Under: 148.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Missouri State Bears and the Xavier Musketeers meet Friday in college basketball action from the Cintas Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Missouri State Bears vs. Xavier Musketeers prediction.
Missouri State Bears Recap
The Missouri State Bears come into this game looking to shake off a 98-74 loss at the hands of Tulsa last time out to sit at 4-4 this season. After this game, Missouri State will head home for a game against Oral Roberts.
Bears Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight
Keith Palek III leads Missouri State in scoring and assists with 16.8 PPG and 3.5 APG along with 6.8 RPG while Michael Osei-Bonsu has 13.7 PPG with 7.1 RPG and 2 APG to lead the Bears in rebounding. Zaxton King has 11.1 PPG with 3.4 RPG while Kobi Williams has 13 PPG with 2.5 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Missouri State so far this season. Trey Williams Jr. has 9.5 PPG and Darrion Sutton has 8.4 PPG with 6 RPG as well this season. As a team, Missouri State is averaging 78.6 PPG on 45.9% shooting from the field, 29.7% from three and 67.5% from the foul line so far this season.
Xavier Musketeers Recap
The Xavier Musketeers come into this game looking to add on to their 79-74 win over Cincinnati last time out to sit at 7-3 this season. After this game, Xavier will take on Creighton at home.
Musketeers Win 4 In A Row
Tre Carroll leads the Musketeers in scoring with 17.3 PPG along with 5.6 RPG and 2.7 APG while Roddie Anderson III has 13.3 PPG with 2.7 RPG and 2.8 APG. Joven Milicevic has 12.5 PPG with 3.9 RPG and All Wright has 10.8 PPG and 2.4 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Xavier up to this point in the year. Malik Messina-Moore has 6.8 PPG with a team-high 4.3 APG and Filip Borovicanin has 8.5 PPG with a team-high 7 RPG to lead Xavier on the glass along with 3.6 APG. As a team, Xavier is averaging 78.7 PPG on 42.5% shooting from the field, 36.7% from three and 68.1% from the foul line this season.
Why the Xavier Musketeers will win
- Xavier has won 15 of its last 16 games against non-Conference opponents at Cintas Center.
- Missouri State has lost 13 of its last 16 night games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Xavier’s last five games at Cintas Center have produced a total of 153+ points.
- Each of Missouri State’s last four games against the Big East Conference Conference have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.
Missouri State Bears vs. Xavier Musketeers Prediction
I’m on Xavier in this one. The Musketeers look like they’ve really turned the corner as of late, while Missouri State’s had issues for the most part taking the step up in class and playing on the road, losing their two true road games by 18 and 24 this season. Xavier’s one of the best the Bears have had to go up against this season and I think that the Musketeers get it done here. Give me Xavier.