Xavier vs Providence Prediction 3/8/25 College Basketball Picks Today

The Providence Friars and the Xavier Musketeers meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Cintas Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Providence vs. Xavier prediction.

Matchup History

The Xavier Musketeers won the last meeting by a final score of 91-82 back on February 12^th, 2025 on the road, making it four wins for Xavier in the last five head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

Providence Recap

The Providence Friars come into this game looking to bounce back from an 80-77 loss at the hands of Depaul last time out to sit at 12-18 on the year.

Friars Lose 4 Straight & 8 Of Last 9

Jayden Pierre’s logged 12.8 PPG with 2.6 RPG and 3.1 APG. Bensley Joseph has 12.5 PPG with 4 RPG and a team-high 3.2 APG to lead the Friars in assists to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Providence so far this season. Wesley Cardet Jr. has 8.8 PPG with 3.2 RPG while Corey Floyd Jr. has 9 PPG with 4.5 RPG and Oswin Erhunmwunse has 5.4 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Providence is averaging 71.3 PPG on 44% shooting from the field, 35.8% from three and 68.9% from the foul line this season.

Why the Providence Friars will win

• The road team has won each of the last four games between Providence and Xavier.

Xavier Recap

The Xavier Musketeers come into this matchup looking to add on to their 91-78 win over Butler last time out to improve to 20-10 on the year.

Xavier Wins 6^th In A Row

Zach Freemantle leads the Musketeers in scoring and rebounding with 17.1 PPG and 7.1 RPG while Ryan Conwell’s added 16 PPG with 2.4 APG and Dayvion McKnight has 10 PPG with a team-high 4.4 APG to lead the Musketeers in assists up to this point in the year. Dailyn Swain’s also added 10.5 PPG with 5.5 RPG and 2.7 APG, rounding out the group of double-digit scorers for Xavier so far this season. Marcus Foster has 7.7 PPG with 4.7 RPG and 2 APG as well on the year. As a team, Xavier is averaging 77.8 PPG on 46.5% shooting from the field, 38.6% from three and 79.2% from the foul line this season.

Why the Xavier Musketeers will win

• Xavier has won each of its last 11 day games at Cintas Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Providence has lost eight of its last nine games.

Total Points Facts

• Fourteen of Providence’s last 15 Saturday road games against the Big East Conference have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
• Eleven of Xavier’s last 13 day games have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Providence vs. Xavier Prediction

I’m on Xavier here. This game is simply a case of two teams headed in completely different directions, as Providence has just been playing out the string as their once reliable defense has failed this team. On the other side, Xavier has been rolling heading into the conference tournament and are looking like a team that’s primed and ready for a run in the Big East and potentially NCAA tournament. I think in the final home game, Providence does enough to get the win and cover at home here. Give me the Musketeers at home in this one.