College Football

AAC: SMU vs Cincinnati 10/22/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

Cincinnati Bearcats (5-1) vs. SMU Mustangs (3-3)
October 22, 2022 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: SMU Mustangs +3 / Cincinnati Bearcats -3; Over/Under: 62.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The SMU Mustangs and Cincinnati Bearcats clash Saturday in week 8 AAC college football action at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. The Cincinnati Bearcats look to build on their 5-game winning streak. The SMU Mustangs look to get a game above a .500 record.

The Cincinnati Bearcats have won 7 of their last 8 road games. Ben Bryant is completing 66.1 percent of his passes for 1,561 yards, 15 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Tyler Scott and Tre Tucker have combined for 887 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Jadon Thompson has 10 receptions. The Cincinnati Bearcats ground game is averaging 156.8 yards per contest, and Charles McClelland leads the way with 502 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 21.2 points and 313.2 yards per game. Ivan Pace Jr. leads the Cincinnati Bearcats with 63 tackles, Jowon Briggs has 3 sacks and Ja’von Hicks has 2 interceptions.

The SMU Mustangs have won 7 of their last 9 home games. Tanner Mordecai is completing 60.9 percent of his passes for 2,016 yards, 15 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Rashee Rice and Jake Bailey have combined for 966 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Moochie Dixon has 15 receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 138.5 yards per contest, and Velton Gardner leads the way with 230 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, SMU is allowing 29.5 points and 435.2 yards per game. Jimmy Phillips Jr. leads the SMU Mustangs with 34 tackles, Elijah Chatman has 3 sacks and Nick Roberts has 1 interception.

The Bearcats are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Mustangs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 6-2-1 in Bearcats last 9 road games. The over is 5-1 in Mustangs last 6 home games The Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The SMU Mustangs will be up for this game, obviously, and they have the offensive punch to give themselves a chance. However, SMU and its defensive effort isn’t good enough to be trusted against some of the better teams in the conference. The Cincinnati Bearcats are just the better team across the board, and their top-25 scoring offense should have a field day against an SMU defense that can’t stop the run. I’ll lay the field goal.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats -3

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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