Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction 11/15/25 College Football Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction for this College Football Week 12 game on Saturday, November 15^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Connecticut Huskies Preview

Connecticut has a 7-3 record this season and is sitting 2nd in the IA Independents. They are 5-3-2 ATS, 7-3 in Over/Under and have a 5-0 home record and a 2-3 away record. Connecticut is coming off a 37-34 home win against Duke and will face Air Force and Florida Atlantic next.

Offensively, Connecticut averages 36.9 points per game, ranking 16th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 24.9 points per game, which is 74th. Connecticut averages 456.7 total yards per game (300.5 passing and 156.2 rushing), while allowing 391.5 total yards per game (174.3 rushing and 217.2 passing).

Joe Fagnano leads Connecticut with 2,840 passing yards with 68.8% completed passes and 25 touchdowns. Camryn Edwards leads the team in rushing yards with 665, while Skyler Bell has a team-high 85 receptions for 1,081 receiving yards. Defensively, Byrun Parham has a team-high 96 total tackles (47 of them solo), while Byrun Parham leads the team in sacks, with 10.5, and Cam Chadwick has a team-high one interception.

Air Force Falcons Preview

Air Force has a 3-6 record this season and is sitting 10th in the MWC. They are 4-5 ATS, 6-3 in Over/Under and have a 2-3 home record and a 1-3 away record. Air Force is coming off a 26-16 road win against San Jose State and will face Connecticut and New Mexico next.

Offensively, Air Force averages 33.0 points per game, ranking 32nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 33.0 points per game, which is 123rd. Air Force averages 438.0 total yards per game (169.0 passing and 269.0 rushing), while allowing 457.7 total yards per game (169.6 rushing and 288.1 passing).

Liam Szarka leads Air Force with 1,260 passing yards with 62.4% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Liam Szarka leads the team in rushing yards with 903, while Cade Harris has a team-high 31 receptions for 536 receiving yards. Defensively, Blake Fletcher has a team-high 84 total tackles (31 of them solo).

Air Force Falcons @ Connecticut Huskies Betting Trends: Week 12

Why the Connecticut Huskies will win

• Connecticut has won each of its last 11 games as a home favorite.
• Air Force has lost each of its last three road games against non-conference opponents.
• Connecticut has covered the spread in seven of its last eight home games in November.
• Air Force has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against opponents from the FBS Independents.
• Connecticut has won the first quarter in each of its last six home games against non-conference opponents.
• Connecticut has won the first half in each of its last six home games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Air Force Falcons will win

• Air Force has won four of its last five November games as an underdog.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of Air Force’s last seven games.
• Connecticut has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four November games as a favorite.
• Air Force has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Air Force’s last 11 games against opponents from the FBS Independents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of Connecticut’s last six home games have gone OVER the total points line.

Connecticut Huskies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Skyler Bell ranks 1st amongst FBS players for receiving touchdowns (13) this season.

Air Force Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Liam Szarka ranks T3rd amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (13) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Connecticut has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
• Six of Connecticut’s 10 games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• Air Force ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (12.9).
• Air Force ranks 136th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (12.2).

Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction

In this Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction, Connecticut is coming as -7-point home favorites, with the total set at 63.5 points. Connecticut has a better overall record this season and have been red-hot lately with a 7-1 record in its last 8 games, having been undefeated in their five home games this season. On the flip side, Air Force is 2-6 in its last 8 games, they are 1-3 on the road and are weaker both offensively and defensively, as Conn has the 16^th-best offense in the country. Take Connecticut and lay the -7 at home.