Navy Midshipmen (4-0) vs. Air Force Falcons (1-3)
October 5, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Air Force Falcons +10 / Navy Midshipmen -10; Over/Under: 35.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Navy Midshipmen and Air Force Falcons meet Saturday in week 6 college football action at Falcon Stadium. Here’s a Air Force vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction. This article will include a Air Force vs Navy Midshipmen Pick.
Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview
The Navy Midshipmen beat Memphis and UAB, and they play Charlotte next. The Navy Midshipmen look for their first 5-0 start since the 2017 season. Blake Horvath is completing 68.2 percent of his passes for 637 yards, 7 touchdowns and 1 interception. Eli Heidenreich and Brandon Chatman have combined for 480 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Nathan Kent has 2 receptions.
The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 287.3 yards per contest, and Horvath leads the way with 450 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 23.5 points and 424.3 yards per game. Colin Ramos leads the Navy Midshipmen with 51 tackles, Justin Reed has 3 sacks and Rayuan Lane III has 1 interception.
Air Force Falcons Betting Preview
The Air Force Falcons lost to Baylor and Wyoming, and they play New Mexico next. The Air Force Falcons have lost 7 of their last 8 regular season games. John Busha is completing 36.5 percent of his passes for 240 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Cade Harris and Quin Smith have combined for 176 receiving yards on 13 catches, while Tre Roberson has 2 receptions.
The Air Force Falcons ground game is averaging 176.8 yards per contest, and Harris leads the way with 147 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 21.3 points and 343.8 yards per game. Osaro Aihie leads the Air Force Falcons with 22 tackles, Payton Zdroik has 3 sacks and Jerome Gaillard Jr. has 1 interception.
Why the Navy Midshipmen will win
- Air Force has lost seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Navy has won each of its last four games.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Navy has covered the spread in each of its last four October road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Navy’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of Air Force’s last seven games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into , Air Force ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (0.0).
- Heading into , Air Force ranks 134th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (3.3).
- Heading into , Navy ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (17.8).
- Heading into , Navy ranks 5th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (287.3).
Air Force vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction
The Air Force Falcons will be up for this game as a rivalry, but it probably doesn’t matter. Air Force is in a free fall, and it’s not making bettors money with a cover in just 2 of its last 10 games. The Navy Midshipmen have covers in 3 straight games and are one of the best offenses in college football. Air Force has won 4 straight against Navy and the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games, but this feels like where the streak ends. Give me Navy in a comfortable road win. Air Force is in rough shape at the moment.
