College Football

Air Force vs New Mexico 11/12/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

New Mexico Lobos (2-7) vs. Air Force Falcons (6-3)
November 12, 2022 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Air Force Falcons -23.5 / New Mexico Lobos +23.5; Over/Under: +39
(Get latest betting odds)

The Air Force Falcons and New Mexico Lobos clash Saturday in week 11 MWC college football action at Falcon Stadium. The New Mexico Lobos look to snap a 6-game losing streak. The Air Force Falcons look for a win after winning 4 of their last 6 games.

The New Mexico Lobos have lost 6 straight road games. Miles Kendrick is completing 58.7 percent of his passes for 863 yards, 3 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Geordon Porter and Luke Wysong have combined for 503 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Andrew Erickson has 7 receptions. The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 138.2 yards per contest, and Nathaniel Jones leads the way with 454 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 25.1 points and 344.2 yards per game. Cody Moon leads the New Mexico Lobos with 69 tackles, Justin Harris has 3.5 sacks and Ronald Wilson has 2 interceptions.

The Air Force Falcons have won 4 of their last 5 home games. Haaziq Daniels is completing 47.1 percent of his passes for 677 yards, 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. David Cormier and Amari Terry have combined for 456 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Dane Kinamon has 2 receptions. The Air Force Falcons ground game is averaging 329.7 yards per contest, and Brad Roberts leads the way with 1,078 yards and 13 touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 15.7 points and 273.6 yards per game. Trey Taylor leads the Air Force Falcons with 54 tackles, TD Blackmon has 3.5 sacks and Camby Goff has 3 interceptions.

The Lobos are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games and 16-40-1 ATS in their last 57 games overall. The Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 11-5 in Lobos last 16 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games overall. The Lobos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

The New Mexico Lobos have no offense to speak of and have actually been held to 10 or fewer points in 4 of their last 6 games. The Air Force Falcons should be big favorites here at home. However, Air Force is the top rushing team in the country and that tends to eat the clock a lot. Also, Air Force isn’t blowing the doors off the competition most nights, and a lot of that has to do with a scoring offense that’s 70th in the country. Air Force wins, but I’m grabbing the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: New Mexico Lobos +23.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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