College Football

Akron vs Bowling Green Prediction 10-5-24 College Football Picks

Bowling Green Falcons (1-3) vs. Akron Zips (1-4)
October 5, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Akron Zips +14.5 / Bowling Green Falcons -14.5; Over/Under: 51.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Bowling Green Falcons and Akron Zips meet Saturday in week 6 college football action at InfoCision Stadium. Here’s a Akron vs Bowling Green Prediction. This article will include a Akron vs Bowling Green Pick.

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

The Bowling Green Falcons recently lost to Texas A&M and Old Dominion, and play Northern Illinois next. Bowling Green has won 4 of its last 7 road games. Connor Bazelak is completing 65.4 percent of his passes for 975 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Harold Fannin Jr. and Malcolm Johnson Jr. have combined for 700 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jamal Johnson has 13 receptions.

The Bowling Green Falcons ground game is averaging 152.8 yards per contest, and Terion Stewart leads the way with 270 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing 26.8 points and 395 yards per game. Joseph Sipp Jr. leads the Bowling Green Falcons with 27 tackles, Anthony Hawkins has 3 sacks and Jacorey Benjamin has 1 interception.

Akron Zips Betting Preview

The Akron Zips lost to South Carolina and Ohio, and they play Western Michigan next. The Akron Zips last 3 wins have come at home. Ben Finley is completing 58.2 percent of his passes for 855 yards, 7 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Adrian Norton and Bobby Golden have combined for 512 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Jake Newell has 24 receptions.

The Akron Zips ground game is averaging 54.6 yards per contest, and Jordon Simmons leads the way with 182 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Akron is allowing 40.2 points and 430.2 yards per game. Bryan McCoy leads the Akron Zips with 45 tackles, Bennett Adler has 2 sacks and Daymon David has 1 interception.

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

  • Akron has lost each of its last 10 games in October.
  • The favorite has won each of Akron’s last 12 games.
  • Akron has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
  • Bowling Green has covered the spread in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
  • Bowling Green has won the first half in each of its last six games against conference opponents.
  • Bowling Green has won the first quarter in 10 of its last 11 road games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Bowling Green’s last eight October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the last four October games between Bowling Green and Akron have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Akron ranks 134th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (54.6).
  • Akron ranks T133rd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (2.0).
  • Bowling Green ranks 121st among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (210.0).
  • Bowling Green ranks T26th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (9.3).

Akron vs Bowling Green Prediction

Neither Bowling Green nor Akron have had an easy schedule up to this point, so this is a better measuring stick game for both. Bowling Green has probably shown more in 4 games, but it also can’t strop the run defensively and can get scored on. The Akron Zips look terrible on both sides of the ball, but they’ve also spent nearly all year on the road. Akron is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 games as a double-digit underdog. This just feels like too many points for two teams that have ridden the struggle bus up to this point. It’s Akron or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Akron Zips +14.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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