College Football

Akron vs Central Michigan Prediction Football Picks Today 10/3/26

Akron Zips (1-3) vs. Central Michigan Chippewas (2-2)
October 3, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Central Michigan Chippewas -250 / Akron Zips 205; Over/Under: 47
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Akron vs Central Michigan Prediction for this College Football Week 5 matchup on Saturday, October 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Central Michigan Chippewas Preview

Central Michigan has a 2-2 record and are coming off a 3-52 road loss against Miami (FL). They will face Ohio and Western Michigan next. Offensively, Central Michigan averages 11.8 points per game, ranking 137th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 27.5 points per game, which is 104th. Central Michigan averages 238.5 total yards per game (68.8 passing and 169.8 rushing), while allowing 373.8 total yards per game (165.3 rushing and 208.5 passing).

Angel Flores leads Central Michigan with 123 passing yards with 57.6% completed passes, also adding a team-high 320 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns. Justin Ruffin, Jr. has a team-high 7 receptions for 46 receiving yards. Defensively, Xavier White has a team-high 33 total tackles (13 of them solo), while Jaxon Cherry leads the team with 1.5 sacks.

Akron Zips Preview

Akron has a 1-3 record and are coming off a 10-38 home loss against UNLV. They will face Eastern Michigan and Miami (OH) next. Offensively, Akron averages 19.5 points per game, ranking 123rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 31.8 points per game, which is 123rd. Akron averages 337.5 total yards per game (201.3 passing and 136.3 rushing), while allowing 410.3 total yards per game (152.8 rushing and 257.5 passing).

Brayden Roggow leads Akron with 425 passing yards with 60.3% completed passes and 2 touchdowns. Jordan Gant leads the team in rushing yards with 187, while Marcel Williams has a team-high 18 receptions for 165 receiving yards. Defensively, Donelius Johnson has a team-high 34 total tackles (15 of them solo), while Omari Abor leads the team with one sack.

Akron Zips @ Central Michigan Chippewas Betting Trends: Week 5

 

Why the Central Michigan Chippewas will win

  • Akron has lost each of its last eight games in Michigan.
  • Central Michigan has won each of its last 11 games as a home favorite.
  • Central Michigan has covered the spread in six of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
  • Akron has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games in Michigan.
  • Central Michigan has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
  • Akron has lost the first half in 12 of its last 13 games as a road underdog.

Why the Akron Zips will win

  • Akron has won three of its last four October games as an underdog.
  • Central Michigan has lost six of its last nine October games as a favorite.
  • Central Michigan has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 11 October games as a favorite.
  • Akron has covered the spread in each of its last four October games against Central Michigan.
  • Akron has won the first quarter in each of its last five October games as a road underdog.
  • Central Michigan has lost the first half in four of its last five games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Central Michigan’s last six games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of Akron’s last six games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Central Michigan Chippewas Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 5, Angel Flores ranks 1st in the Mid-American Conference for rushing yards (320) this season.

Akron Zips Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 5, Sean Patrick ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Central Michigan ranks 138th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (68.8).
  • Central Michigan ranks 137th among FBS teams for points per game this season (11.8).
  • Akron ranks T134th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (100.0).
  • Akron ranks T131st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (20.0).

Akron vs Central Michigan Prediction

In this Akron vs Central Michigan Prediction, Central Michigan is coming as -6.5 home favorites. There is now way to lay points with a team that has the second-worst offense in the entire country and is 1-3 against the spread this season. I don’t trust Akron either so I will not pick a side. Akron has scored just 17 points in its last two games and will face the second-worst offense in the nation and both teams are 4-1 to the under in their last 5 games combined. The under is also 6-2 in their last 8 meetings, so I expect a low-scoring affair today. Take the under 47 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Under 47

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