Florida State Seminoles (1-1) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (2-0)
September 19, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Alabama Crimson Tide -19.5 / Florida State Seminoles +19.5; Over/Under: 49.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Florida State Seminoles and the Alabama Crimson Tide meet in week 3 college football action from Bryant Denny Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Florida State Seminoles vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction.
Florida State Seminoles Recap
The Florida State Seminoles come into this game looking to rebound from a 27-24 loss at the hands of SMU last time out to sit at 1-1 on the year. After this game, Florida State will head home for a game against Central Arkansas.
Seminoles Looking To Rebound
Ashton Daniels has thrown for 327 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception on 58.0% passing while Ousmane Kromah leads the Seminoles in rushing with 231 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns so far this season. One more Seminole has at least 100 rushing yards as well this season including Ashton Daniels who has 101 yards and 2 TDs while Samuel Singleton Jr. leads Florida State in receiving with 94 receiving yards and 6 catches to lead Florida State along with 2 touchdowns as well this season. On defense, Chris Jones and Ashlynd Barker share a team-high with 15 total tackles each in addition to 0 sacks while Florida State’s defense as a whole has combined for 3 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.
Alabama Crimson Tide Recap
The Alabama Crimson Tide come into this game looking to add on to their 45-17 win over Kentucky last time out to sit at 2-0 this season. After this game, Alabama will take on South Carolina at home.
Crimson Tide Looking To Stay Unbeaten
Keelon Russell has thrown for 444 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions on 64.2% passing while Daniel Hill leads the Crimson Tide in rushing with 151 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns so far this season. Russell also has 77 rushing yards and a TD while Ryan Coleman-Williams leads Alabama in receiving with 173 receiving yards and 9 catches to lead Alabama along with 0 touchdowns as well this season. On defense, Caleb Woodson has a team-high 13 total tackles in addition to 2 sacks while Alabama’s defense as a whole has combined for 7 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.
Florida State Seminoles @ Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends: Week 3
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Alabama has won each of its last 11 games in September.
- Florida State has lost seven of its last eight September games against AP-ranked teams.
- Alabama has covered the spread in each of its last seven home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six road games.
- Alabama has won the first quarter in each of its last 15 home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Alabama has won the first half in each of its last 33 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Saban Field at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
Why the Florida State Seminoles will win
- Florida State has won five of its last six games against teams from Alabama.
- Alabama has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against teams from Florida.
- The underdog has covered the spread in three of Florida State’s last four games.
- Florida State has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
- Florida State has won the first half in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Florida State’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Alabama’s last five September games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
Alabama Crimson Tide Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Lotzeir Brooks ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Florida State Seminoles Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Ousmane Kromah ranks 14th amongst FBS players for rushing yards (231) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Alabama ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Alabama ranks T1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (100.0).
- One of Florida State’s two games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
- Florida State ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
Florida State Seminoles vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction
I’m on the Crimson Tide here. I just think this Florida State team isn’t very good not to mention this is a revenge spot for Alabama after losing to start the year against FSU and that was a Florida State team that admittedly wasn’t very good last season. Alabama’s found something here with Keelon Russell, and now that they’re back at home I expect FSU to get drilled here. Give me Alabama.
