South Carolina Gamecocks (3-2) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (4-1)
October 12, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Alabama Crimson Tide -21 / South Carolina Gamecocks +21; Over/Under: +50.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate an Alabama vs South Carolina prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 12th at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 7 matchup.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide are 4-1 (1-1) this season after they lost to Vanderbilt by a score of 40-35 last week. Alabama never led in this game, but they did cut the deficit to two points in the third quarter before Vanderbilt put the game away. The Crimson Tide were outgained by a total of 418-394, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 3-6 on third down in the game. Jalen Milroe threw for 310 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Jam Miller rushed for 45 yards and two scores.
Alabama had won their previous four games against Western Kentucky, South Florida, Wisconsin, and Georgia. The Alabama offense has scored 44.6 points per game with 274 passing yards and 194.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20 points per game this season. The Crimson Tide have gone 47.4% on third down and 3-4 on fourth down so far this season. Jalen Milroe has completed 73.4% of his passes for 1,274 yards, 11 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Jam Miller has rushed for 318 yards and five scores.
South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Preview
The South Carolina Gamecocks are 3-2 (1-2) this year after they lost to Ole Miss by a score of 27-3 in their last game. South Carolina cut the deficit to 14-3 in the second quarter, but couldn’t find any more points in the game. The Gamecocks were outgained by a total of 425-313, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 5-16 on third down in the game. LaNorris Sellers threw for 162 yards and one interception, while Mazeo Bennett Jr. caught three passes for 41 yards.
South Carolina also has a loss against LSU by a score of 36-33, but they do have wins against Old Dominion, Kentucky, and Akron. The South Carolina offense has scored 28 points per game with 176 passing yards and 184 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 19 points per game this season. The Gamecocks have gone 30% on third down and 7-12 on fourth down so far this season. LaNorris Sellers has completed 57.6% of his passes for 555 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Mazeo Bennett Jr. has caught 14 passes for 200 yards and two scores.
Why Alabama will cover
- Alabama has won each of its last 18 games against conference opponents at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
- South Carolina has lost each of its last seven games against AP-ranked teams.
- Alabama has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against conference opponents at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
- South Carolina has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games in October.
- Alabama has won the first half in 30 of its last 35 games against conference opponents at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
- Alabama has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Alabama’s last nine games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of South Carolina’s last seven games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Alabama ranks 6th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (12.6).
- Alabama ranks 8th among FBS teams for points per game this season (44.6).
- South Carolina ranks T17th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (7.0).
- South Carolina ranks T21st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (3.4).
Alabama vs South Carolina Prediction
Alabama comes into this matchup after one of the biggest upsets we have seen in recent memory, and they will try to bounce back with a win here. The Crimson Tide never led in their loss to Vanderbilt last week, which came one week after their win against Georgia. South Carolina has dropped two of their last three games and only managed to score three points at home last week against Ole Miss. I think we are going to see an angry Alabama team show up for this game and they are at home, so I like the Crimson Tide to win big.
