App State vs Georgia State Prediction 10-26-24 College Football Picks
Georgia State Panthers (2-4) vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-4)
October 26, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Appalachian State Mountaineers -7.5 / Georgia State Panthers +7.5; Over/Under: +62
(Get latest betting odds)
The Georgia State Panthers and Appalachian State Mountaineers meet Saturday in week 9 college football action at Kidd Brewer Stadium. Here’s an App State vs Georgia State Prediction. This article will include an App State vs Georgia State Pick.
Georgia State Panthers Betting Preview
The Georgia State Panthers lost to Old Dominion and Marshall, and they play UConn next. Georgia State has lost 5 straight road games. Christian Veilleux is completing 58.4 percent of his passes for 1,301 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Ted Hurst and Dorian Fleming have combined for 749 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Michel Dukes has 23 receptions.
The Georgia State Panthers ground game is averaging 127.3 yards per contest, and Freddie Brock leads the way with 430 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Georgia State is allowing 30.3 points and 409.2 yards per game. Xavier Robinson leads the Georgia State Panthers with 39 tackles, Kevin Swint has 4 sacks and Kenyatta Watson II has 2 interceptions.
Appalachian State Mountaineers Betting Preview
The Appalachian State Mountaineers lost to Marshall and Louisiana, and they play Old Dominion next. Appalachian State has won 4 of its last 5 home games. Joey Aguilar is completing 55.6 percent of his passes for 1,759 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Kaedin Robinson and Christian Horn have combined for 864 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Makai Jackson has 26 receptions.
The Appalachian State Mountaineers ground game is averaging 143 yards per contest, and Kanye Roberts leads the way with 285 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Appalachian State is allowing 38.2 points and 426.8 yards per game. DJ Burks leads the Appalachian State Mountaineers with 36 tackles, Santana Hopper has 2 sacks and Seth Robertson has 1 interception.
Why the Appalachian State Mountaineers will win
- Georgia State has lost each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- Appalachian State has won 16 of its last 18 home games in October.
- Appalachian State has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against Georgia State.
- Georgia State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Five of Appalachian State’s last six games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Three of Georgia State’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Appalachian State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (12.5).
- Appalachian State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for average point differential in the first quarters this season (-10.3).
- Georgia State ranks 131st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (18.2).
- Georgia State ranks T129th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (2.2).
App State vs Georgia State Prediction
I’m not running to the window to lay this sort of chalk with Appalachian State, but the Mountaineers have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road, so this feels like a chance where they get back on track. The Georgia State Panthers are 111th in scoring offense and 105th in scoring defense, and things usually don’t improve on the road. Georgia State is 1-5 ATS on the season and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as a road underdog. Oddsmakers are telling you what they think of Georgia State with this line. I’ll trust them. Give me Appalachian State by double digits.