BYU Cougars (9-1) vs. Arizona State Sun Devils (8-2)
November 23, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona State Sun Devils -3 / BYU Cougars +3; Over/Under: +48.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate an Arizona State vs BYU prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 23rd at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 13 matchup.
Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview
The Arizona State Sun Devils are 8-2 (5-2) this year after they defeated Kansas State by a score of 24-14 in their last game. Arizona State led 21-0 at halftime and they were able to get the win, despite being outscored 14-3 in the second half. The Sun Devils were outgained by a total of 412-398, won the turnover battle 3-1, and went 9-15 on third down in the game. Sam Leavitt threw for 275 yards and three touchdowns, while Cam Skattebo rushed for 73 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, the Sun Devils defeated UCF by a score of 35-31 and Oklahoma State by a score of 42-21. The ASU offense has scored 30.8 points per game with 208.9 passing yards and 190.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.8 points per game this season. Sam Leavitt has completed 61.3% of his passes for 1,906 yards, 17 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Cam Skattebo has rushed for 1,074 yards and 11 scores.
BYU Cougars Betting Preview
The BYU Cougars are 9-1 (6-1) this season after they lost to Kansas by a score of 17-13 in their last game. BYU was tied at 10 at the half and led 13-10 in the fourth quarter, but made too many mistakes down the stretch for the loss. The Cougars outgained Kansas by a total of 354-242, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 3-10 on third down in the game. Jake Retzlaff threw for 192 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while LJ Martin rushed for 76 yards in the game.
Prior to that loss, the Cougars started the season with nine straight victories but did have close calls with Utah, Oklahoma State, Baylor, and SMU. The BYU offense has scored 31.6 points per game with 234.3 passing yards and 163 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 19.5 points per game this season. Jake Retzlaff has completed 58.6% of his passes for 2,283 yards, 19 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while LJ Martin has rushed for 501 yards and five scores.
Why Arizona State will beat BYU
- Arizona State has won each of its last 14 November games as a home favorite.
- BYU has lost each of its last four road games against AP-ranked teams.
- Arizona State has covered the spread in each of its last five games at Mountain America Stadium.
- BYU has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.
- Arizona State has won the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Why BYU will beat Arizona State
- BYU has won each of its last four games as an underdog.
- Arizona State has lost each of its last seven games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
- BYU has covered the spread in each of its last six games as an underdog.
- Arizona State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four November home games against AP-ranked teams.
- BYU has won the first half in three of its last four road games against conference opponents.
- BYU has won the first quarter in each of its last four road games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Arizona State’s last eight November home games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of BYU’s last four road games against conference opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Arizona State ranks 16th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (47.1).
- Arizona State is one of only 19 FBS teams undefeated in home games this season ((5-0)).
- BYU ranks T1st among FBS teams for interceptions this season (17).
- BYU ranks 4th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (+7.6).
Arizona State vs BYU Prediction
BYU comes into this game after losing their undefeated season against Kansas last week, despite out-gaining them by over 100 yards. The Cougars had some very poor coaching decisions at the end of each half, which ultimately lost them the game. Arizona State has won three games in a row and just picked up a great road win at Kansas State. The Sun Devils have one of the best running backs in the country and they have scored at least 24 points in three straight games. I really don’t like either defense in this matchup and I think the offenses will have a big day, so take the over here.
