Arizona State vs Mississippi State Prediction 9-7-24 College Football Picks

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Arizona State Sun Devils meet on Saturday in college football action from Sun Devil Stadium. Here’s an Arizona State vs Mississippi State prediction. We will be looking at this from a betting perspective and determining the best Arizona State vs Mississippi State pick.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

Back in 2023, the Bulldogs pulled off a 5-7 record overall. Mississippi State did even worse in SEC play, going just 1-7 to land one spot out of the basement in the West Division. The Bulldogs finished ahead of only Arkansas (also 1-7).

In their first matchup of 2024 versus Eastern Kentucky, the Bulldogs didn’t have any issues. Mississippi State scored double-digit points in three of four quarters during a blowout win 56-7. Blake Shapen threw for 247 yards and three touchdowns while also leading the rush on 44 yards and a score.

Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview

Over on the Arizona State side, they had a pretty rough year as well. The Sun Devils limped to a 3-8 overall run and had a 2-7 mark in Pac-12 games. Arizona State finished ahead of only Colorado (1-8) in the standings.

Matched up against Wyoming back on Saturday, the Sun Devils also notched a blowout win, bagging double points in the first three quarters on the way to a 48-7 result. QB Sam Leavitt had 258 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Cameron Skattebo added 49 rush yards and a TD.

Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win

• The favorite has won 13 of Mississippi State’s last 14 games.
• Mississippi State has lost four of its last five September road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as an underdog.
• The favorite has covered the spread in five of Mississippi State’s last six games.
• Arizona State has won the first half in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
• Arizona State has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Mississippi State has won each of its last 10 games against non-conference opponents.
• Arizona State has lost each of its last seven games in September.
• Arizona State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against non-conference opponents.
• The road team has covered the spread in three of Arizona State’s last four games.
• Mississippi State has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games against non-conference opponents.
• Mississippi State has won the first quarter in eight of its last 10 games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Fifteen of Arizona State’s last 16 games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Mississippi State’s last four September games as a road underdog has gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Arizona State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• Arizona State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• Mississippi State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• Mississippi State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).

Arizona State vs Mississippi State Prediction

I’m going with Arizona State. This should be a fun matchup though, and you could make a case either way. The Sun Devils posted 499 total yards (241 rushing), 7.0 yards per play, 27 first downs, and no turnovers in their blowout win Saturday. Defensively they were great as well with 118 yards allowed (78 passing), eight first downs, three turnovers, and a 3-of-13 rate on third downs.

As for Mississippi State, they posted 450 yards (203 rushing) with zero turnovers in a pretty nice offensive display. Arizona State’s defense will be a much stouter test this week though, and I don’t quite think the Bulldogs will cover. Should be a great game to watch, though.