College Football

Arizona State vs Texas Tech Prediction Football Picks Today 10/17/26

Arizona State Sun Devils (3-2) vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-0)
October 17, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders -700 / Arizona State Sun Devils 500; Over/Under: 50.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Arizona State vs Texas Tech Prediction for this College Football Week 7 matchup on Saturday, October 17th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview

Texas Tech has a 5-0 record and a 2-0 record in the Big 12. They are coming off a 29-7 road win against Colorado and will face Cincinnati and Arizona next.

Offensively, Texas Tech averages 34.8 points per game, ranking 43rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 16.2 points per game, which is 23rd. Texas Tech averages 406.4 total yards per game (227.4 passing and 179 rushing), while allowing 353.6 total yards per game (91.4 rushing and 262.2 passing).

Will Hammond leads Texas Tech with 1,102 passing yards with 68.3% completed passes and 5 touchdowns. J’Koby Williams leads the team in rushing yards with 373, while Kenny Johnson has a team-high 298 receiving yards and 17 receptions. Defensively, Ben Roberts and Austin Romaine lead the team with 34 total tackles each, while Anthony Holmes Jr. leads the team with 2.5 sacks.

Arizona State Sun Devils Preview

Arizona State has a 3-2 record and a 1-1 record in the Big 12. They are coming off a 30-12 home win against Hawaii and will face Kansas State and BYU next.

Offensively, Arizona State averages 32.6 points per game, ranking 54th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 27.8 points per game, which is 106th. Arizona State averages 421.4 total yards per game (256 passing and 165.4 rushing), while allowing 347.4 total yards per game (136.2 rushing and 211.2 passing).

Cutter Boley leads Arizona State with 1,229 passing yards with 62.7% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. Kyson Brown leads the team in rushing yards with 290, while Reed Harris has a team-high 590 receiving yards and 34 receptions. Defensively, Owen Long has a team-high 49 total tackles (24 of them solo), while Jalen Thompson and C.J. Fite lead the tam with 2 sacks each.

Arizona State Sun Devils @ Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Trends: Week 7

 

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

  • Texas Tech has won each of its last 13 games in Texas.
  • Arizona State has lost eight of its last nine road games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas Tech has covered the spread in eight of its last nine home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Arizona State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games in October.
  • Texas Tech has won the first quarter in each of its last nine home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas Tech has won the first half in each of its last nine home games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win

  • Arizona State has won three of its last four October games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
  • Arizona State has covered the spread in each of its last six October games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Arizona State has won the first half in each of its last four October games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Arizona State has won the first quarter in four of its last six October games as an underdog against top-10 AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Texas Tech’s last four games against teams from Arizona have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of Arizona State’s last five games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, J’Koby Williams ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Arizona State Sun Devils Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Reed Harris ranks T5th amongst FBS players for receiving touchdowns (7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas Tech ranks T3rd among FBS teams for interceptions this season (9).
  • Texas Tech ranks 3rd among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+8.6).
  • Arizona State ranks 136th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-6.8).
  • Arizona State ranks T130th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.2).

Arizona State vs Texas Tech Prediction

In this Arizona State vs Texas Tech prediction, Texas Tech is coming as -14.5 home favorites. Texas Tech has been undefeated this season and is 2-0 ATS in its last two games, while being better than Arizona State both offensively and defensively, ranking on the top-43 of the whole country in both categories for a +18.6 point differential. On the flip side, Arizona State is 1-3 ATS in its last 4 games and has lost all of its three previous visits in Texas Tech. The value here lies with the home team, so take Texas Tech and lay the -14.5 points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Texas Tech -14.5

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