Arizona vs Texas Tech Prediction 10-5-24 College Football Picks
Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-1) vs. Arizona Wildcats (3-1)
October 5, 2024 11:00 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Wildcats -6 / Texas Tech Red Raiders +6; Over/Under: 64
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas Tech Red Raiders and Arizona Wildcats meet Saturday in week 6 college football action at Arizona Stadium. Here’s an Arizona vs Texas Tech Prediction. This article will include an Arizona vs Texas Tech Pick.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview
The Texas Tech Red Raiders beat Arizona State and Cincinnati and play Baylor next. Texas Tech has lost 5 of its last 7 road games. Behren Morton is completing 63.5 percent of his passes for 1,426 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Josh Kelly and Coy Eakin have combined for 794 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Caleb Douglas has 16 receptions.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders ground game is averaging 181 yards per contest, and Tahj Brooks leads the way with 551 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas Tech is allowing 34.4 points and 463.2 yards per game. Ben Roberts leads the Texas Tech Red Raiders with 40 tackles, Isaac Smith has 1 sack and Chapman Lewis has 2 interceptions.
Arizona Wildcats Betting Preview
The Arizona Wildcats lost to Kansas State, beat Utah, and play BYU next. The Arizona Wildcats have won 5 straight home games. Noah Fifita is completing 63.1 percent of his passes for 1,060 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Tetairoa McMillan and Keyan Burnett have combined for 628 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Montana Lemonious-Craig has 9 receptions.
The Arizona Wildcats ground game is averaging 152.5 yards per contest, and Quali Conley leads the way with 322 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Arizona is allowing 22.5 points and 355.8 yards per game. Jacob Manu leads the Arizona Wildcats with 35 tackles, Taye Brown has 2 sacks and Genesis Smith has 2 interceptions.
Why the Arizona Wildcats will win
- Arizona has won each of its last 11 games as a favorite.
- Texas Tech has lost four of its last five road games in October.
- Arizona has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games in October.
- Texas Tech has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five October games as an underdog.
- Arizona has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Arizona has won the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas Tech’s last five October road games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Arizona’s last five October games as a favorite has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into, Arizona ranks T114th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (73).
- Heading into, Arizona ranks T104th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (5.8).
- Heading into this, Texas Tech ranks 132nd among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (309.4).
- Heading into, Texas Tech ranks 4th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (27.0).
Arizona vs Texas Tech Prediction
I’m interested to see how the Arizona Wildcats follow up a big road win over Utah. Possible letdown spot? The Texas Tech Red Raiders have the offensive horses to keep up with Arizona, but the difference is the Wildcats are the side that actually shows effort defensively. Texas Tech is 125th in total defense and 122nd in scoring defense. Arizona is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when favorites of 5 or more points. I’ll take Arizona at home by a touchdown.