College Football

Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction 11-23-24 College Football Picks

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (5-5) vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-4)
November 23, 2024 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Arkansas State Red Wolves -3 / Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +3; Over/Under: +52.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The UL Monroe Warhawks and Arkansas State Red Wolves meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at Centennial Bank Stadium. Here’s an Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction. This article will include an Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Pick.

UL Monroe Warhawks Betting Preview

The UL Monroe Warhawks lost to Texas State and Auburn, and they play Louisiana next. The UL Monroe Warhawks have 3 straight road games. Aidan Armenta is completing 56.9 percent of his passes for 987 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Davon Wells and Jake Godfrey have combined for 439 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Javon Campbell has 8 receptions.


The UL Monroe Warhawks ground game is averaging 163.8 yards per contest, and Ahmad Hardy leads the way with 975 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, UL Monroe is allowing 28 points and 385.2 yards per game. Wydett Williams Jr. leads the UL Monroe Warhawks with 87 tackles, Billy Pullen has 5 sacks and Car’lin Vigers has 1 interception.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview

The Arkansas State Red Wolves lost to Louisiana, beat Georgia State, and they play Old Dominion next. Arkansas State has lost 3 straight road games. Jaylen Raynor is completing 61.3 percent of his passes for 2,131 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Corey Rucker and Courtney Jackson have combined for 1,123 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Reagan Ealy has 19 receptions.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves ground game is averaging 157 yards per contest, and Ja’Quez Cross leads the way with 543 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 32.6 points and 458.5 yards per game. Marvin Ham leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 75 tackles, Jayden Jones has 4 sacks and Trevian Thomas has 4 interceptions.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

  • Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last nine games in November.
  • Arkansas State has won each of its last six games at Centennial Bank Stadium.
  • Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in eight of the last 10 games between Louisiana-Monroe and Arkansas State.
  • Arkansas State has won the first quarter in each of its last four home games against conference opponents.
  • Arkansas State has won the first half in each of its last four home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Louisiana-Monroe’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of Arkansas State’s last seven November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Arkansas State ranks 127th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (17.5).
  • Arkansas State ranks 127th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (458.6).
  • Louisiana-Monroe ranks 3rd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (95.2).
  • Louisiana-Monroe ranks 131st among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (145).

Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction

The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks are still a win away from a bowl berth, but that’s been the case for a while, and that hasn’t stopped them from losing four straight and getting clapped defensively. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are unbeaten at home, and the Warhawks don’t do anything well offensively to scare them. It just feels like Louisiana-Monroe has run out of gas, and it’s hard seeing this streak end on the road. I’ll lay the field goal with the Red Wolves.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves -3

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

Related Articles

Back to top button