College Football

Arkansas State vs Massachusetts 11/12/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

Massachusetts Minutemen (1-8) vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-7)
November 12, 2022 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Arkansas State Red Wolves -17.5 / Massachusetts Minutemen +17.5; Over/Under: +50
(Get latest betting odds)

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Umass Minutemen do battle Saturday in week 11 college football action at Centennial Bank Stadium. The Umass Minutemen look to snap a 6-game losing streak. The Arkansas State Red Wolves look to snap a 4-game losing streak.

The Umass Minutemen haven’t won a road game since October 2018. Gino Campiotti is completing 44.6 percent of his passes for 257 yards, 1 touchdown and 6 interceptions. George Johnson III and Cameron Sullivan-Brown have combined for 545 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Isaac Ross has 8 receptions. The Umass Minutemen ground game is averaging 159.2 yards per contest, and Campiotti leads the way with 387 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Umass is allowing 30.4 points and 374 yards per game. Jalen Mackie leads the Umass Minutemen with 65 tackles, Marcus Cushnie has 4.5 sacks and Jordan Mahoney has 3 interceptions.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves have split their last 4 home games. James Blackman is completing 67.3 percent of his passes for 1,872 yards, 11 touchdowns and 1 interception. Seydou Traore and Jeff Foreman have combined for 940 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Champ Flemings has 32 receptions. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ground game is averaging 92.6 yards per contest, and Johnnie Lang leads the way with 327 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 31.1 points and 403.8 yards per game. Jordan Carmouche leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 61 tackles, Dennard Flowers has 3 sacks and Eddie Smith has 2 interceptions.

The Minutemen are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 road games and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Red Wolves are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf. The under is 6-1 in Minutemen last 7 games overall. The under is 11-5 in Red Wolves last 16 games overall.

You probably shouldn’t be eager to back either of these teams, as they’re well below average, but you can make a case the Massachusetts Minutemen are the worst team in the country. UMass is 130th in total offense, 131st in scoring offense and 99th in scoring defense. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have issues of their own, especially on the defensive side, but none of their issues are on the level of UMass. It’s the chalk or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves -17.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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