Missouri Tigers (5-2) vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (3-4)
October 31, 2026 7:45 pm EDT
The Line: Arkansas Razorbacks +9.5 / Missouri Tigers -9.5; Over/Under: 49.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Arkansas vs Missouri Prediction
I’m on Arkansas and the points in this one. I really think that Arkansas has steadily shown signs of improvement despite looking like a disaster for much of the season starting with the win over Tulsa and now being just one game below .500. Missouri’s a solid team in their own right with some good wins and much more stable quarterback play, but I think this is a case of too many points in a game where Arkansas is very much live for the outright win. Give me the Hogs and the points in this one.
Missouri Tigers Recap
The Missouri Tigers come into this game looking to bounce back from their 31-3 loss at the hands of Ole Miss last time out to sit at 5-2 this season. After this game, the Tigers will head home for a game against the Texas Longhorns.
Tigers Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
Austin Simmons has thrown for 1,773 yards, 14 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 63.2% passing while Jamal Roberts leads Missouri in rushing with 867 yards and 8 touchdowns. Xai’Shaun Edwards sits behind Roberts on the ground with 132 yards and a touchdown. Cayden Lee leads the Tigers in receiving with 678 yards and 47 catches along with 5 touchdowns, while Donovan Olugbode trails with 534 yards and 35 catches along with 6 touchdowns. On defense, Nicholas Rodriguez has a team-high 76 tackles while Missouri’s defense as a whole has combined for 18 sacks and 6 interceptions.
Why the Missouri Tigers will win
- Missouri has won each of its last 28 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Arkansas has lost each of its last 12 games against AP-ranked teams.
- Missouri has covered the spread in each of its last nine road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against teams from Missouri.
- Missouri has won the first quarter in five of its last six games against teams from Arkansas.
- Arkansas has lost the first half in each of its last seven home games against AP-ranked teams.
Arkansas Razorbacks Recap
The Arkansas Razorbacks come into this game looking to build off of their win over the Vanderbilt Commodores last time out to sit at 3-4 this season. After this game, the Razorbacks will head on the road for a game against the Auburn Tigers.
Razorbacks Snap Two-Game Skid
KJ Jackson has thrown for 1,444 yards, 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 60.9% passing while Braylen Russell leads Arkansas in rushing with 205 yards and 2 touchdowns. Sutton Smith sits behind Russell on the ground with 195 yards and a touchdown. Chris Marshall leads the Razorbacks in receiving with 633 yards and 43 catches along with 2 touchdowns, while Ty Lockwood trails with 129 yards and 15 catches along with a touchdown. On defense, Ja’Quavion Smith has a team-high 48 tackles while Arkansas’s defense as a whole has combined for 10 sacks and 5 interceptions.
Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win
- The home team has won each of Missouri’s last five games.
- Missouri has lost four of its last five road games as an AP-ranked team.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of Missouri’s last four games.
- Missouri has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road games as an AP-ranked team.
- The home team has won the first quarter in seven of the last nine games between Missouri and Arkansas.
- The home team has won the first half in each of Missouri’s last five games.
