College Football

Arkansas vs Tennessee Prediction 10-5-24 College Football Picks

Tennessee Volunteers (4-0) vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (3-2)
October 5, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Arkansas Razorbacks +13.5 / Tennessee Volunteers -13.5; Over/Under: +59.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Arkansas vs Tennessee prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 5th at Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 6  matchup. 

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks are 3-2 (1-1) this season after they lost to Texas A&M by a score of 21-17 in their last game. Arkansas led 14-7 in the first quarter and 17-14 in the fourth quarter, but just couldn’t hang on for the win. The Razorbacks outgained Texas A&M by a total of 379-297, lost the turnover battle 3-0, and went 5-15 on third down in the game. Taylen Green threw for 279 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Isaac TeSlaa caught five passes for 120 yards and one score. 

Arkansas has also lost to Oklahoma State this season, but they do have wins against Arkansas-Pine Bluff, UAB, and Auburn. The Arkansas offense has scored 35.8 points per game with 283 passing yards and 212 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20.2 points per game this season. The Razorbacks have gone 55.4% on third down and 5-10 on fourth down so far this season. Taylen Green has completed 54.3% of his passes for 1,236 yards, five touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Andrew Armstrong has caught 29 passes for 420 yards.

Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview

The Tennessee Volunteers are 4-0 (1-0) this year after they defeated Oklahoma by a score of 25-15 in their last game. Tennessee led 19-3 at the half and was never in danger of losing the game in the second half. The Volunteers outgained Oklahoma by a total of 345-222, won the turnover battle 3-2, and went 6-19 on third down in the game. Nico Iamaleava threw for 194 yards and one touchdown, while Dylan Sampson rushed for 92 yards and one score on 24 carries. 

Tennessee has also defeated Chattanooga, NC State, and Kent State to start the year. The Tennessee offense has scored 54 points per game with 275.8 passing yards and 290 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 7.0 points per game this season. The Volunteers have gone 49.2% on third down and 5-6 on fourth down through four games. Nico Iamaleava has completed 69.3% of his passes for 892 yards, seven touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Dylan Sampson has rushed for 449 yards and 10 scores. 

Why Arkansas will cover

  • Arkansas has won three of its last four home games.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in nine of Arkansas’ last 10 games at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
  • Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Tennessee’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Arkansas’ last five home games has gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Arkansas ranks 2nd among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (139).
  • Arkansas ranks 13th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (495.0).
  • Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for points per game this season (54.0).
  • Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (19.5).

Arkansas vs Tennessee Prediction 

Tennessee comes into this game ranked 4th in the country and they are looking for their fifth straight win to start the season. The Volunteers have looked very good in their first four games, but only scored 25 points in their last game. Arkansas is coming off of a tough loss to Texas A&M, but they have looked like a decent team to start the year. I do think Arkansas is much improved from last year’s disaster and I think they will be up to the challenge of giving the Vols a game. Take Arkansas and the points.

David Racey's Free Pick: Arkansas +13.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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