Auburn vs Tennessee Prediction Football Picks Today 10/3/26

In this article, we will formulate an Auburn vs Tennessee Prediction for this College Football Week 5 matchup on Saturday, October 3^rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Tennessee Volunteers Preview

Tennessee has a 3-1 record and are coming off a 17-20 home loss against Texas. They will face Arkansas and Alabama next. Offensively, Tennessee averages 40 points per game, ranking 23rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 15.5 points per game, which is 28th. Tennessee averages 438 total yards per game (196.5 passing and 241.5 rushing), while allowing 282.3 total yards per game (118.8 rushing and 163.5 passing).

Faizon Brandon leads Tennessee with 697 passing yards with 62.4% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. DeSean Bishop leads the team in rushing yards with 320, while Mike Matthews has a team-high 14 receptions for 261 receiving yards. Defensively, Arion Carter has a team-high 27 total tackles (17 of them solo), while Xavier Gilliam leads the team with 4 sacks.

Auburn Tigers Preview

Auburn has a 3-1 record and are coming off a 21-15 home win against Vanderbilt. They will face Georgia and LSU next. Offensively, Auburn averages 30 points per game, ranking 75th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20.8 points per game, which is 51st. Auburn averages 413.5 total yards per game (235 passing and 178.5 rushing), while allowing 365.8 total yards per game (127 rushing and 238.8 passing).

Byrum Brown leads Auburn with 896 passing yards with 65.1% completed passes and 6 touchdowns, also adding a team-high 237 rushing yards. Keshaun Singleton has a team-high 22 receptions for 268 receiving yards. Defensively, Elijah Melendez has a team-high 34 total tackles (23 of them solo), while Xavier Atkins leads the team with 3 sacks.

Auburn Tigers @ Tennessee Volunteers Betting Trends: Week 5

Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win

• Tennessee has won each of its last 26 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Neyland Stadium.
• Auburn has lost each of its last 11 road games against AP-ranked teams.
• Auburn has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
• The team ranked 17th in the AP Poll has covered the spread in each of its last three games.
• Tennessee has won the first quarter in five of its last six games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
• The favorite has won the first half in each of Auburn’s last six games.

Why the Auburn Tigers will win

• Auburn has won each of its last three games against teams with an AP Ranking of 17.
• Tennessee has lost four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
• The underdog has covered the spread in each of Tennessee’s last nine games at Neyland Stadium.
• Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight games as a favorite in Tennessee.
• Auburn has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against teams with an AP Ranking of 17.
• Auburn has won the first half in four of its last five games in Tennessee.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Tennessee’s last five home games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Auburn’s last five October games against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Tennessee Volunteers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, Xavier Gilliam ranks T10th amongst FBS players for sacks (4.0) this season.

Auburn Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, Andre Jordan Jr. ranks T1st in the Southeastern Conference for interceptions (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Tennessee ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (0.8).
• Tennessee ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
• Three of Auburn’s four games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• Auburn ranks 136th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (25:52).

Auburn vs Tennessee Prediction

In this Auburn vs Tennessee Prediction, Tennessee is coming as -7.5 home favorites. Both teams have identical records so far this season, but Tennessee has better numbers both offensively and defensively, ranking on the top-30 of the country in both categories with a +34.5 point differential. Auburn is just 1-3 against the spread this season and will be tested for the first time on the road this season. Take Tennessee and lay the -7.5 points at home in this one.