Baylor vs Colorado Prediction Football Picks Today 9/26/26

The Colorado Buffaloes and Baylor Bears meet Saturday in week 4 college football action at McLane Stadium. Here’s a Baylor vs. Colorado Prediction. This article will include a Baylor vs. Colorado Pick.

Colorado Buffaloes Betting Preview

The Colorado Buffaloes beat Weber State, lost to Northwestern, and they play Texas Tech next. Colorado has lost 6 of its last 8 games. Julian Lewis is completing 63.3 percent of his passes for 658 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Joseph Williams and DeAndre Moore Jr. have combined for 434 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Ernest Campbell has 1 reception.

The Colorado Buffaloes’ ground game is averaging 181 yards per contest, and Micah Welch leads the way with 178 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Colorado is allowing 25 points and 361 yards per game. Randon Fontenette leads the Colorado Buffaloes with 25 tackles, Lamont Lester Jr. has 4 sacks, and Jason Stokes Jr. has 3 pass deflections.

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears beat Prairie View A&M and LA Tech and play Arizona State next. Baylor has lost 6 of its last 9 games. Nate Bennett is completing 75 percent of his passes for 567 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Gavin Freeman and Louis Brown IV have combined for 467 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jayden McGowan has 6 receptions.

The Baylor Bears’ ground game is averaging 162.3 yards per contest, and Dawson Pendergrass leads the way with 203 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Baylor is allowing 13 points and 287 yards per game. Travion Barnes leads the Baylor Bears with 18 tackles, Garrick Ponder has 2 sacks, and Devon Jordan has 2 interceptions.

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• Colorado has lost each of its last six road games against conference opponents.
• Baylor has won 12 of its last 14 September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Colorado has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six road games against conference opponents.
• Colorado has lost the first half in 11 of its last 12 September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The home team has won the first quarter in five of Colorado’s last six games.

Why the Colorado Buffaloes will win

• Baylor has lost five of its last six games against conference opponents.
• Colorado has won seven of its last nine September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Baylor has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
• The road team has covered the spread in four of Colorado’s last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Five of Baylor’s last six games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Colorado’s last five games against teams from Texas have gone OVER the total points line.

Baylor Bears Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Gavin Freeman ranks 1st amongst FBS players for receptions (29) this season.

Colorado Buffaloes Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Quentin Gibson ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Baylor ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• Baylor ranks T8th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (60.0).
• Colorado ranks T131st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (62.5).
• Colorado ranks T125th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (8.0).

Baylor vs Colorado Prediction

Baylor hasn’t covered numbers dating back to last season, but Colorado isn’t a team I want to back at all. Colorado isn’t finishing drives offensively and continues to be hit or miss defensively, mainly in the secondary. We just saw Colorado get smoked by Northwestern 7-41. Baylor is head and shoulders the more talented team than the Wildcats. If Northwestern can do Colorado dirty, Baylor should have a field day. I’ll lay the points with the Bears at home.