Houston Cougars (8-3) vs. Baylor Bears (5-6)
November 29, 2025 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Baylor Bears -2.5; Over/Under: 61.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Cougars vs Baylor Bears meet Saturday in college football action from McLane Stadium. Here’s a Baylor vs Houston prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Baylor vs Houston pick.
Houston Cougars Betting Preview
Houston opened up their year with four straight victories. Those came in succession versus Stephen F Austin, Rice, Colorado and Oregon State. The Cougars would take their first loss of the year versus Texas Tech in game five, but then won three more over Oklahoma State, Arizona and Arizona State. After another loss to West Virginia, the Cougars beat UCF in a tight finish on November 7 for an 8-2 run in their first 10 outings of the season.
In the TCU game last weekend, Houston was stunned with a 14-0 deficit after one quarter but managed to tie it up heading into the fourth. The Cougars gave up a late field goal and lost 17-14 in the end. QB Conner Weigman finished 15-of-29 for 161 yards, two scores and a pick while also leading the rush on 15 carries for 114 yards. Amare Thomas was the team’s lead receiver with five catches for 72 yards and a TD of his own.
Baylor Bears Betting Preview
Over on the Baylor side, they did a pretty good job over their first half-dozen games but it’s been downhill since there. The Bears went 4-2 in those first six outings, losing to Auburn and Arizona State with wins otherwise versus SMU, Stanford, Oklahoma State and Kent State. Since then however, Baylor has just one win over UCF. Otherwise it’s been losses to TCU, Cincinnati, Utah and Arizona. That gives the Bears a 5-6 record thus far.
Back on Saturday versus Arizona, the Bears were only down 21-17 going into the final quarter. Baylor gave up 20 unanswered points from there however, leading to a 41-17 loss in the end. QB Sawyer Robertson logged a 22-of-33 line for 162 yards, one TD and two picks. Leading the rush was Caden Knightenwith 17 carries for an even 100 yards. Tops in receiving was Josh Cameron with six grabs for 71 yards and a touchdown in the losing effort.
Houston Cougars @ Baylor Bears Betting Trends: Week 14
Baylor Bears Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 14, Sawyer Robertson ranks T1st amongst FBS players for passing touchdowns (30) this season.
Houston Cougars Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 14, Dean Connors ranks 10th amongst qualified players for catch rate (87.5%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Baylor ranks 3rd among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (309.6).
- Baylor ranks T129th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (9.6).
- Houston ranks T2nd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.7).
- Houston is one of only eight FBS teams undefeated in road games this season (5-0).
Baylor vs Houston Prediction
I’m going to stay with Houston. The Cougars suffered a bad loss to TCU over the weekend even though the defense did its job pretty well. Houston had four takeaways (three picks) and held the Frogs to 5-of-11 on third downs. The offense, meanwhile, put up just 161 pass yards, 17 first downs and 4-of-17 on third-down tries. It was the Cougars’ worst offensive performance since putting up just 11 points in a loss to Texas Tech on October 4. They’ve got to bounce back this weekend.
As for Baylor, they were doing okay versus Arizona in their last matchup—until the fourth quarter, that is. The Bears ended up with 343 yards, 162 pass yards, 20 first downs, 7-of-17 on third-down tries and three turnovers. The defense surrendered 355 yards on the other side with 5.9 yards per play, 22 first downs and 4-of-10 on third downs. Baylor had put up a combined 58 points in their previous two outings but couldn’t get past 17 last weekend. I don’t think they’ve got a good chance at scoring too well here either.
