Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-4) vs. Baylor Bears (3-4)
October 26, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Baylor Bears -7 / Oklahoma State Cowboys +7; Over/Under: +65.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Baylor vs Oklahoma State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 26th at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 9 matchup.
Baylor Bears Betting Preview
The Baylor Bears are 3-4 (1-3) this year after they defeated Texas Tech by a score of 59-35 in their last game. Baylor led 24-21 in the third quarter, but they scored the next 28 points in the game to pull away for the win. The Bears outgained Texas Tech by a total of 529-455, won the turnover battle 2-0, and went 5-12 on third down in the game. Sawyer Robertson threw for 274 yards and five touchdowns, while Bryson Washington rushed for 116 yards and two scores.
Baylor has also defeated Tarleton State and Air Force, but they do have losses against Utah, Colorado, BYU, and Iowa State. The Baylor offense has scored 36.7 points per game with 235 passing yards and 152.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.6 points per game this season. The Bears have gone 38.5% on third down and 13-23 on fourth down so far this season. Sawyer Robertson has completed 60.3% of his passes for 1,319 yards, 14 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Bryson Washington has rushed for 302 yards and three scores.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Preview
The Oklahoma State Cowboys are 3-4 (0-4) this season after they lost to BYU by a score of 38-35 in their last game. Oklahoma State led 21-14 at the half and 35-31 with 1:13 left, but they allowed the game-winning touchdown with 10 seconds left for the loss. The Cowboys were out gained by a total of 473-421, won the turnover battle 3-2, and went 9-13 on third down in the game. Alan Bowman threw for 85 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Ollie Gordon II rushed for 107 yards and two scores.
Oklahoma State has also lost to West Virginia, Kansas State, and Utah during this four-game losing streak, but they did start the season with wins over South Dakota State, Arkansas, and Tulsa. The Oklahoma State offense has scored 30.9 points per game with 278 passing yards and 116.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 28.7 points per game this season. The Cowboys have gone 40.4% on third down and 8-12 on fourth down through seven games. Alan Bowman has completed 59.2% of his passes for 1,738 yards, 13 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Ollie Gordon II has rushed for 491 yards and six scores.
Why Oklahoma State will cover
- Baylor has lost each of its last eight home games against conference opponents.
- Oklahoma State has won three of its last four October games as an underdog.
- Oklahoma State has covered the spread in 13 of its last 14 October games as an underdog.
- Baylor has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games against conference opponents.
- Baylor has lost the first half in each of its last six home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Baylor’s last nine games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of Oklahoma State’s last 11 games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Baylor ranks 127th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (25:56).
- Baylor ranks T117th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (7.9).
- Oklahoma State ranks 130th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (490.6).
- Oklahoma State ranks 130th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (237.9).
Baylor vs Oklahoma State Prediction
Oklahoma State comes into this matchup trying to snap their four-game losing streak, but they have allowed at least 38 points in three straight games. The Cowboys are also having issues at the quarterback spot, and they will have to lean on Bowman due to some injuries. Baylor jumped all over Texas Tech in their last game, which snapped a three-game losing streak, but the Bears were competitive against BYU and Colorado. I think Baylor is better than their record would suggest, but I don’t want to lay seven points against an Oklahoma State team that looked much better offensively last week. Take the Cowboys here.
