TCU Horned Frogs (5-3) vs. Baylor Bears (4-4)
November 2, 2024 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Baylor Bears -3 / TCU Horned Frogs +3; Over/Under: +62.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The TCU Horned Frogs and the Baylor Bears meet in week 10 college football action from McLane Stadium on Saturday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baylor vs TCU Prediction.
TCU Recap
The TCU Horned Frogs come into this one looking to build on a 35-34 win over Texas Tech last time out. After this game, TCU will head home for a matchup against Oklahoma State.
Horned Frogs Win Back-To-Back Games
Josh Hoover has thrown for 2,614 yards, 19 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 66.3% passing while Cam Cook has rushed for 368 yards and 6 touchdowns. Jack Bech has a team-high 46 receptions for 825 receiving yards along with 7 touchdowns while JP Richardson, Eric Mcalister and Savion Williams each have 400+ receiving yards on the year with McAlister logging 4 touchdowns while Williams has 39 receptions and 5 TDs. On defense, Johnny Hodges has a team-high 58 total tackles while Devean Deal has a team-high 3.5 sacks and Zachary Chapman has 3 sacks. As a unit, TCU has combined for 16 sacks and 4 interceptions as well on the year.
Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win
- Baylor has lost each of its last seven games in November.
- The underdog has won five of TCU’s last six games.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of TCU’s last eight games.
- Baylor has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine November games as a home favorite.
Baylor Recap
The Baylor Bears come into this game looking to improve on their 38-28 win over Oklahoma State last time out. After this game, Baylor will have a bye week before going on the road to take on West Virginia.
Bears Pick Up Back-To-Back W’s
Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 1,541 yards 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 60.1% passing while Dequan Finn has thrown for 307 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 53.5% passing. Bryson Washington leads the Bears with 380 rushing yards along with 3 rushing scores while Dawson Pendergrass has 362 rushing yards on the year. Josh Cameron has a team-high 365 receiving yards and 7 TDs while Ashtyn Hawkins has 346 receiving yards with 3 TDs and Hal Presley has 300 receiving yards and 3 TDs. Four more bears have 100+ receiving yards on the year. On defense, Matt Jones has a team-high 71 total tackles including 43 solo tackles along with 3 sacks while Keaton Thomas has 62 total tackles with 36 solo tackles this season. Steve Linton has 3 sacks of his own and Garmon Randolph has 3.5 sacks to lead Baylor. As a unit, Baylor’s defense has combined for 17 sacks and 7 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Baylor Bears will win
- Baylor has won four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- TCU has lost nine of its last 10 November games as a road underdog.
- TCU has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Baylor has covered the spread in each of its last four home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Baylor vs TCU Prediction
I’m on TCU here. I just think that in the end, TCU has the more trustworthy offense, as I don’t think that Baylor’s offense in recent weeks is sustainable. The Horned Frogs have been able to put up points when called upon and stifle opposing teams when necessary, while Baylor’s given up points in bunches all throughout conference play. I’ll side with TCU and the points here.
