Big 12 Championship: TCU vs Kansas State 12/3/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The TCU Horned Frogs and Kansas State Wildcats meet Saturday in the college football Big 12 Championship from AT&T Stadium.

The Kansas State Wildcats come into the Big 12 title game with a record of 9-3 on the year. Adrian Martinez has thrown for 1,261 yards, 6 touchdowns and an interception on 64.1% passing while Will Howard’s thrown for 1,224 yards, 13 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 62.9% passing. Deuce Vaughn has a team-high 1,295 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns while Martinez has 615 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns this season. Malik Knowles leads K-State’s receiving group with 46 grabs for 679 receiving yards while Phillip Brooks has 35 receptions for 495 yards with 4 TDs and Kade Warner has 386 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns as well this season. On defense, Austin Moore has a team-high 82 total tackles while Felix Anudike-Uzomah has a team-high 7.5 sacks and Brendan Mott has 6 sacks as well on the year. As a unit, Kansas State’s defense has 27 sacks and 15 interceptions so far this season.

The TCU Horned Frogs will look to win the Big 12 title game to make a case to the playoff committee, sitting at 12-0 on the year. Max Duggan has thrown for 3,070 yards, 29 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 66.6% passing while Kendre Miller has a team-high 1,260 rushing yards with 16 touchdowns and Emari Demercado has 445 rushing yards and 5 scores as well. Quentin Johnston leads TCU’s receiving group with 49 grabs for 764 yards and 5 touchdowns while Taye Barber has 567 receiving yards and Derius Davis and Savion Williams each have 300+ receiving yards this season. On defense, Johnny Hodges has a team-high 76 total tackles while Dee Winters has a team-high 6.5 sacks and Bud Clark has 4 interceptions this season.

Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games following an ATS win. TCU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 5-1 ATs in their last 6 games overall while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games following an ATS win.

I get the case you could make for K-State. But the thing is that I don’t think we’re getting enough points to consider K-State in the underdog role. TCU has faced adversity time and time against their opponents over the course of the season and while this may be one of the biggest tests to date, I think it’s one that FCU can pass. Give me the Horned Frogs here to keep their college football playoff hopes alive.