Boise State vs Air Force 10/16/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

The Boise State Broncos and Air Force Falcons square off Saturday night in a week 7 MWC college football showdown at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. The Air Force Falcons look to build on their three-game winning streak. The Boise State Broncos look for a win to get a game above a .500 record.

The Air Force Falcons have won three of their last four road games. Haaziq Daniels is completing 51.2 percent of his passes for 494 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Micah Davis and Brandon Lewis have combined for 377 receiving yards and two touchdowns, while Kyle Patterson has three receptions. The Air Force Falcons ground game is averaging 341.3 yards per contest, and Brad Roberts leads the way with 680 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 16.2 points and 280.8 yards per game. Vince Sanford leads the Air Force Falcons with 31 tackles, Demonte Meeks has 3.5 sacks and Corvan Taylor has three interceptions.

The Boise State Broncos have split their last six home games. Hank Bachmeier is completing 65.1 percent of his passes for 1,692 yards, 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. Khalil Shakir and Stefan Cobbs have combined for 844 receiving yards and seven touchdowns, while Octavius Evans has 20 receptions. The Boise State Broncos ground game is averaging 92 yards per contest, and Cyrus Habibi-Likio leads the way with 181 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Boise State is allowing 21.8 points and 414.3 yards per game. JL Skinner leads the Boise State Broncos with 53 tackles, Isaiah Bagnah has five sacks and Tyric LeBeauf has three interceptions.

The Falcons are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games in October. The under is 11-3 in Falcons last 14 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 home games. The Falcons are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

The Boise State Broncos are probably the better team overall, and it’s tough to bet against them at home, but this could be a letdown spot after beating BYU last week on the road. Also, Air Force is an elite defensive team that’s also first in rushing offense. Boise State is 98th in rush defense and 91st in total defense. Air Force should be able to give Boise State all it can handle and have a chance to steal this game in the end. Give me the road dog.