Fresno State Bulldogs (5-3) vs. Boise State Broncos (6-2)
November 1, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Boise State Broncos -17 / Fresno State Bulldogs 17; Over/Under: 50.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Fresno State Bulldogs and Boise State Broncos meet Saturday in college football action at Albertsons Stadium. Here’s a Boise State vs Fresno State Prediction. This article will include a Boise State vs Fresno State Pick.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Fresno State Bulldogs lost to Colorado State and San Diego State, and they play Wyoming next. The Fresno State Bulldogs have lost 2 straight games. E.J. Warner is completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 1,486 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Josiah Freeman and Richie Anderson III have combined for 550 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Ezekiel Avit has 19 receptions.
The Fresno State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 149.6 yards per contest, and Bryson Donelson leads the way with 428 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Fresno State is allowing 23.6 points and 314.4 yards per game. Jadon Pearson leads the Fresno State Bulldogs with 65 tackles, Finn Claypool has 3.5 sacks and Simeon Harris has 2 interceptions.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
The Boise State Broncos beat Nevada and UNLV, and they play San Diego State next. The Boise State Broncos have won 18 of their last 21 regular season games. Maddux Madsen is completing 60.2 percent of his passes for 1,998 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Latrell Caples and Chris Marshall have combined for 802 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Ben Ford has 21 receptions.
The Boise State Broncos ground game is averaging 196.6 yards per contest, and Dylan Riley leads the way with 729 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Boise State is allowing 23.3 points and 337.3 yards per game. Ty Benefield leads the Boise State Broncos with 55 tackles, Braxton Fely has 5 sacks and A’Marion McCoy has 4 interceptions.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won each of its last 16 games at Albertsons Stadium.
- Fresno State has lost each of its last four road games in November.
- Boise State has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.
- Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 road games against conference opponents.
- Boise State has won the first quarter in each of its last nine home games against conference opponents.
- Boise State has won the first half in eight of its last nine home games against conference opponents.
Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win
- The underdog has won three of the last four games between Fresno State and Boise State at Albertsons Stadium.
- Fresno State has covered the spread in six of its last seven games as an underdog against Boise State.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Boise State’s last six games against teams from California have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Fresno State’s last six games as an underdog against Boise State have gone UNDER the total points line.
Boise State Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Dylan Riley leads the Mountain West Conference for rushing yards (729) this season.
Fresno State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Rayshon Luke ranks 9th amongst qualified players for catch rate (92.3%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Boise State ranks 5th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (33:33).
- Boise State ranks 6th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+7.5).
- Fresno State ranks 131st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (27.3).
- Fresno State ranks 130th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (72.7).
Boise State vs Fresno State Prediction
Fresno State doesn’t have the offense to scare Boise State and was just shutout by San Diego State last week. Boise State is the more balanced team and is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games as a double-digit favorite. In the 6 games this season, Boise State was a double-digit favorite, the Broncos are winning by an average of 24 points. I’m going to ride with the trends and side with Boise State in another comfortable victory.
