Memphis Tigers (2-0) vs. Boise State Broncos (0-1)
September 12, 2026 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boise State Broncos -8.5 / Memphis Tigers 8.5; Over/Under: 56.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Boise State vs Memphis prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 12th at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 2 matchup.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
The Boise State Broncos are 0-1 this season after they lost to Oregon by a score of 34-27 last week. Boise State led 17-14 at halftime and they were tied at 27 with about eight minutes left, but couldn’t score anymore points in the loss. The Broncos were out gained by a total of 497-274, went 4-15 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Maddux Madsen threw for 181 yards and three touchdowns, while Rasean Jones caught four passes for 76 yards. Dylan Riley rushed 17 time for 50 yards in the loss.
The Broncos were 9-5 (6-2) last year and they finished tied for first in the Mountain West standings with three other teams. Boise State started the season with a 34-7 loss to South Florida, but they bounced back with a 51-14 win over Eastern Washington. The Broncos were 6-2 through eight games, but they lost two in a row, before winning their last two games of the regular season. Boise State defeated UNLV in the Mountain West Championship game by a score of 38-21, but lost to Washington by a score of 38-10 in the LA Bowl. The Broncos scored 29.9 points per game in 2025, while they allowed 24.1 points against per game on defense.
Memphis Tigers Betting Preview
The Memphis Tigers are 2-0 this year after they defeated Arkansas State by a score of 42-24 last week. Memphis led 21-17 at halftime and they scored 21 points in the second half for the win and cover. The Tigers out gained Ark State by a total of 523-434, went 5-9 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 4-2 in the game. Marcus Stokes threw for 188 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Brady Kluse caught one pass for 40 yards. Jaylin Carter rushed 19 times for 183 yards and four scores in the win.
Prior to that game, Memphis defeated UNLV by a score of 27-21 in week zero. Memphis trailed 14-7 at halftime and 21-14 in the third, but they scored the last 13 points to escape with the win. The Tigers were out gained by a total of 460-418, went 3-11 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Stokes threw for 223 yards and two touchdowns, while Carter rushed 15 times for 97 yards and one score.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won 18 of its last 19 games at Albertsons Stadium.
- Boise State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games at Albertsons Stadium.
- Boise State has won the first half in each of its last eight games in September.
- Boise State has won the first quarter in each of its last four games in September.
Why the Memphis Tigers will win
- Memphis has won 13 of its last 14 games against non-conference opponents.
- Boise State has lost each of its last three games against opponents from the American Conference.
- Memphis has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents.
- Memphis has won the first quarter in six of its last seven September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Memphis has won the first half in five of its last six games in September.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Boise State’s last 10 games in September have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Memphis’ last three games in September have gone OVER the total points line.
Boise State Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 2, Sire Gaines ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Memphis Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 2, Jaylin Carter ranks 1st amongst FBS players for rushing yards (280) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Boise State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- One of Boise State’s one games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
- Memphis ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- One of Memphis’ two games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
Boise State vs Memphis Prediction
Boise State comes into this matchup after nearly upsetting Oregon in week one, but they need to refocus, as Memphis is also very good. The Tigers are 2-0 and their offense is difficult to defend. I think Memphis will have success moving the ball, but they have allowed a ton of yards to UNLV and Arkansas State. This has all the makings of a high scoring game, so I like the over in this one.
