College Football

Boise State vs Nevada 10/2/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

Nevada Wolf Pack (2-1) vs. Boise State Broncos (2-2)
October 2, 2021 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Boise State Broncos -6.5 / Nevada Wolf Pack +6.5; Over/Under: 56.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boise State Broncos meet the Nevada Wolf Pack Saturday in MWC week 5 college football action at Albertsons Stadium. The Nevada Wolf Pack look for a win here to build on their 2-1 record. The Boise State Broncos look for another win to a game above a .500 record.

The Nevada Wolf Pack have split their last four road games. Carson Strong is completing 68 percent of his passes for 955 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Romeo Doubs and Tory Horton have combined for 432 receiving yards and one touchdown while Elijah Cooks has 13 receptions. The Nevada Wolf Pack ground game is averaging 77 yards per contest, and Toa Taua leads the way with 155 yards on 25 carries. Defensively, Nevada is allowing 21.7 points and 337 yards per game. Daiyan Henley leads the Nevada Wolf Pack with 28 tackles, Tristan Nichols has three sacks and Isaiah Essissima has one interception.


The Boise State Broncos have won three of their last five home games. Hank Bachmeier is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 1,132 yards, seven touchdowns and three interceptions. Khalil Shakir and Octavius Evans have combined for 585 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Stefan Cobbs has five receptions. The Boise State Broncos ground game is averaging 87.5 yards per contest, and George Holani leads the way with 96 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Boise State is allowing 18.3 points and 420 yards per game. JL Skinner leads the Boise State Broncos with 45 tackles, Scott Matlock has three sacks and Tyric LeBeauf has three interceptions.

The Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Broncos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 5-2-1 in Wolf Pack last 8 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games overall. The Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Boise State.

The Nevada Wolf Pack have had a couple of weeks to prepare for this game, which creates some value, but they can’t run the football on offense or stop the run on defense. Not a good formula for winning on the road. The Boise State Broncos are a physical bunch in the trenches, have held their own against some quality teams and they’re 7-4 against the spread in their last 11 games when favored by five or more points. This isn’t the best Boise State team we’ve seen in past years, but it’s good enough to take care of Nevada at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Boise State Broncos -6.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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